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To: ted w. kentzel who wrote (6178)1/6/1998 4:15:00 AM
From: jgideon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10368
 
You folks are forgetting to take the warrant call share
dilution into account. Look at the Q3 press release and
you'll see that BNGO has $1.866 M in net income for the
first nine months of the year. A simple extrapolation of
that figure (i.e., multiply by 4/3) gets you $2.488 M for
the year. With 9.5 M shares outstanding after the
warrant call, you get an EPS of 0.26 for 1997. Because
Darlington is being treated as a pooling and was stated to
be accretive, this is a low end estimate.

To include Darlington, we add $4 M to revenues, which
translates to about $1 M in net income (using a 25%
profit margin - BNGO currently has a 26% profit margin).
So let's estimate about $3.5 M in net income after the
pooling. Again, with 9.5 M shares, we get about 0.37 EPS
for 1997. That figure does not make any unusally optimistic
assumptions.

Now, give BNGO only a PE of 20 and you get a $7.40 price.
A company growing this fast deserves a higher PE multiple,
but that won't happen until the SC VGM situation becomes
clearer.

jg



To: ted w. kentzel who wrote (6178)1/6/1998 8:21:00 PM
From: Vinnie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10368
 
Ted, Hope you're right about 97 eps. However, does this take the new shares (from warrant conversion) into account, or is this based on the previous shares outstanding? Either way, I agree that BNGO is currently undervalued with respect to assests and earnings.

Vinnie



To: ted w. kentzel who wrote (6178)1/7/1998 12:27:00 AM
From: WallStBum  Respond to of 10368
 
How much time is allowed for yearly financials to be filed? I believe it's longer than for quarterly (which is 45 days).


90 days after year-end. So figure end of March.

45 days for quarter end is correct. Remember BNGO got a few day extension to file 3rd Q so they could figure out the pooling issues.

I would assume 90 days will be plenty of time for them to get there year-end numbers together even with all the pooling of Darlington and the warrant call dilution. But, I wouldn't expect any numbers for awhile anyways.

dax