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To: Angela who wrote (2730)1/6/1998 2:16:00 AM
From: pat mudge  Respond to of 6180
 
[Korea and U.S. bankers]

Angela --

I don't know who comprises the chaebol, but, like you, I'm curious. I'll try to watch for comments as I read other sources. From the Economist article, it appears Kim is the right man for the job, at least in that he seems positioned to take on the chaebol and support the IMF in following their guidelines. Of course, it's early in the game.

From this evening's late-breaking news, a report on the bankers' meeting in NY today:

<<<
Reuters Story - January 05, 1998 19:32

By George Lerner
NEW YORK, Jan. 5 (Reuters) - South Korean officials and
U.S. bankers took a small step toward solving the Asian
nation's financial crisis Monday, holding their first
face-to-face meeting on refinancing $40 billion in short-term
debt.
"It was a meeting of minds as to where the government is
going," one banker who attended Monday's gathering said. "The
Koreans are looking for ideas."
While no agreements were reached, South Korean presidential
adviser In Yong Chung called the meeting "positive" and said he
and the bankers discussed several options.
Chung, who met with U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence
Summers Monday evening, said his country had been presented a
"menu of options" to restructure its obligations. But he added
that Seoul needed time to study the various alternatives.
Analysts and banking sources said they did not expect South
Korea to decide on a refinancing plan until after
President-elect Kim Dae-jung takes office Feb. 15.
Sources said Monday's talks, which took place at J.P.
Morgan headquarters, were general, not specific.
U.S. bankers, many of whom participated in Latin America's
debt refinancing in the 1980s, said the first day of talks gave
them a better grasp of Korea's problem. Korean delegates said
their government would need more time to select a rescue plan.
One banker familiar with the talks said he expects Korea
ultimately to refinance its short-term debt with a plan similar
to a J.P. Morgan proposal currently on the table. That plan
would involve the Korean government issuing as much as $20
billion in debt, half of which would be go toward short-term
debt of its ailing banks.
"It was the very first time the lender side and the Korean
side have met face to face," Chung said. "It's too early to say
(which plan the government will choose)."
Korea is looking for ways to rebuild confidence in its
battered economy, where a string of corporate and banking
failures set off a run on the country's currency and stock
market, and raised questions about how troubled companies could
refinance themselves.
"The details cannot be worked out in one meeting," said E.
Han Kim, finance professor at University of Michigan, who also
attended the talks. "This is not an insolvency situation, this
is a liquidity situation."
U.S. bankers, who came together late last month at the
behest of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, fashioned an
accord to roll over the country's debt due at the end of last
year, but were still working out the details of a massive debt
restructuring.
"What has had to be addressed urgently is maintaining the
lifeblood of the economy -- the short-terms, credit lines, the
trade lines (of credit) -- and that's being addressed," said a
banker who participated in Monday's session.
The meeting did not tackle ways of extending Korea's
stockpile of short-term debt. Participants left the problem for
later talks.
"It's going to be under discussion as we move to meetings
later in the week," one banker said.
U.S. banks have been weighing the J.P. Morgan plan, which
would involve up to $20 billion debt in new Korean debt, as
well as an earlier proposal for a $9 billion global bond issue
from Goldman Sachs and Salomon Smith Barney, advisers to the
Korean government.
"My sense is that we'll end up with something more like the
Morgan plan," said one banker familiar with the talks.
Japanese media reported that 10 major Japanese banks agreed
Monday to roll over South Korea's debts coming due in January
to help ease South Korea's acute shortage of foreign currency.
Before Monday's meeting, European and U.S. banks had agreed
to extend for one month Korean debt that matured at the end of
December. The extension enabled global banks to give the
financial community time to figure out the details of its
obligations to Korea and to prevent global banks from upsetting
their balance sheets at year-end, according to a source close
to the Federal Reserve.>>>



To: Angela who wrote (2730)1/7/1998 3:02:00 AM
From: pat mudge  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6180
 
[Crony Capitalism and the East]

Bouncing off the discussion on Korea's chaebol, today's Internet Week newsletter reflects on the damage done by Crony Capitalism :
<<<
Plugging In: Open Information Is The Only Cure For Crony
Capitalism

An ill wind is blowing from the East. As we look back on
the lessons of the past year, it behooves us to consider
the implications of the great Asian currency collapse of
1997 on both our industry and our economy.

The Asian "miracle" is over. The government-centric
economic model brought to a pinnacle of development
by Japan and emulated by Korea, Malaysia and the other
Asian Tigers is in shambles. The time has come for "crony
capitalism"-a mix of free-market practices, central
economic planning and systematic corruption-to join
socialism on the trash heap of history.

The roots of crony capitalism run deep. Alexander Hamilton,
first Secretary of the Treasury under George Washington,
was a tireless promoter of government-industry cooperation
supported by carefully orchestrated corruption. He believed
that enriching society's leading citizens through state-
sponsored financial dealing was a key strength of the
British Empire, and recommended this practice in place of
a hereditary aristocracy to help the young United States
counterbalance the excesses of popular democracy.

This philosophy found fertile soil in post-war Japan. A
similar approach later helped the Asian Tigers
emerge from poverty. For decades, crony capitalism
delivered startling economic growth while ensuring
political stability as nations edged toward democracy. But
ever since the Japanese bubble economy burst in the early
'90s, presaging the broader Asian currency debacle, the
bankruptcy of this approach has been revealed.

Transparent economies in which the inner workings of
government, corporate and financial institutions are
publicly disclosed are difficult to corrupt-if for no other
reason than rival factions force checks and balances. This
is why crony capitalists work so hard to deny outsiders
entry into financial markets.

With the advent of global networking, the instant
dissemination of financial news and the ability of currency
traders to shift massive amounts of capital at the speed of
light, the secret circle of control has been broken. And
not a moment too soon. It is not just hidden wealth
transfers that make crony capitalism evil. The more serious
problem is that without transparency, failure is too easy
to hide.

In a transparent economy, dismal economic performance-
whether it be bad loans, bad management policies or
outright fraud-is quickly exposed to the discipline of the
market, which can force corrective action. Under crony
capitalism, failure is rarely acknowledged, so it cannot be
corrected. As failures accumulate, liabilities balloon that
ultimately threaten healthy institutions entangled through
cross-ownership.

Capitalism's "creative destruction" works best when
administered in small doses. Unleash it in a tidal wave and
it can wash away entire national economies. Americans have
been criticized for relying too heavily on instant
information, creating financial markets in which a
company's stock can react sharply to yesterday's cash
register receipts. Yet this so-called short-term
focus has proven far more effective than cadres of
government-industry "experts" working behind closed doors.

Asia must take its medicine, with or without sugarcoating,
by an International Monetary Fund bailout of the venal and
inept. Demanding fiscal austerity in return is not enough.
Only insistence on full financial disclosure can effect a
cure, without which the cycle is doomed to be repeated.
Anything less risks the prosperity of the world.

Bill Frezza is a general partner at Adams Capital
Management. The opinions expressed here are his own. He can
be reached at frezza@alum.MIT.EDU or
techweb.cmp.com/nc/frezza/frezza.html.>>>>