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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (131386)3/4/2017 9:51:22 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218722
 
absolutely debt-free and collateral-clear but useful and in-demand china rural land at current under-developed state / exchange rate is worth at least $50 trillion, and once connected by fibre, wifi, roads, waterworks, etc etc, and exchange-certified, would be worth more

in the mean time at very extremely conservative 5:1 printing (loan-creation to deposit) to collateral rate, gives theoretical capacity of $ 250 trillion

all to be tee-ed up w/i the next 10-20-30 years depending on pace of reform

above per natural size meme is relatively large one-off effect

as to ... <<Since the onset of the 2008 global economic depression>> ... that would be the very same depression which engendered 3X income rise

reducing debt level is of course a good good, and mathematically-speaking debt can be papered over via debt / equity swap, and diluted w/ income rise

guidance: inflation of the east and deflation of the west, per global equalisation of income and levelling of cost is on target, tracking true, calibrated okay, and aligned clear, per once in 800 years systemic revamp and rejuvenation restart

re <<Gross domestic product grew 6.7 percent in 2016, the slowest in 26 years>>

... if kept up for the next 25 years, would mean ... 5X current GDP ... or 11 Trillion => 55T, relative to rest of world at say ... being generous ... 2% growth ... 1.64X ... 64 T => 105 Trillion

55 out of 160 ... about 34% of global gdp ... close enough for govt work, per natural size in context of history, and not overtaking earlier peak at 36% of global gdp but close enough

can 44 T of annual gdp flow be coaxed out of 250 trillion of in situ printing capacity ... close enough per big math, and all without tee-ing up tech improvement, etc etc ... just requiring per usual diligence, education, savings, etc etc

and given trump-ism reigning supreme over the next 4 and possibly 8 years, the future is more sure than not even as trump himself is said to be unpredictable

i reckon

recommendation: saveingold, for trump is good for gold, and 8 years of goodness possibly locked-in

foreignpolicy.com




To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (131386)3/4/2017 11:30:36 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218722
 
The natural regression to the mean of China is to come down to 4% GDP growth and stay there. Every production that move out for Vietnam or Myanmar increases the GDP of these countries while lowering China's.

Had not be for the artificial growth like keep boosting heavy industry, building artificial islands or defense spending it would have been already in the natural 4%.

It is no shame to grow 4%. As 4% today is more than 10% 20 years ago.



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (131386)3/4/2017 11:55:01 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 218722
 
China to boost defence spending by ‘about 7%’ to keep in line with GDP growth

China will raise its defence expenditure this year by “about 7 per cent” according to a senior government official, keeping the rise in line with the country’s economic growth, despite an announced 10 per cent splurge on US defence by President Donald Trump.



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (131386)6/19/2022 6:01:02 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218722
 
Hello EJ, waypoint calibration of the 2017 read, CoVid-19 / Ukraine-22 accelerated Message 31015412


w/r to 2026 TeoTwawKi / 2032 Darkest Interregnum, and after the D.I. what might happen and relatively soon, because 2017-to-now, is shorter duration than now-to-2032

zerohedge.com

Visualizing The Coming Shift In Global Economic Power (2006-2036)`

As the post-pandemic recovery chugs along, the global economy is set to see major changes in the coming decades. Most significantly, China is forecast to pass the United States to become the largest economy globally.

The world’s economic center has long been drifting from Europe and North America over to Asia. This global shift was kickstarted by lowered trade barriers and greater economic freedom, which attracted foreign direct investment (FDI). Another major driving factor was the improvements in infrastructure and communications, and a general increase in
economic complexity in the region.

Visual Capitlaist's visualization uses data from the 13th edition of World Economic League Table 2022, a forecast published by the Center for Economics and Business Research (CEBR).


When Will China Become the Largest Economic Power?

China is expected to surpass the U.S. by the year 2030. A faster than expected recovery in the U.S. in 2021, and China’s struggles under the “Zero-COVID” policies have delayed the country taking the top spot by about two years.

China has maintained its positive GDP growth due to the stability provided by domestic demand. This has proven crucial in sustaining the country’s economic growth. China’s fiscal and economic policy had focused on this prior to the pandemic over fears of growing Western trade restrictions.

India is Primed for the #3 Spot

India is expected to become the third largest country in terms of GDP with $10.8 trillion projected in 2031.

Looking back, India had a GDP of just $949 billion in 2006. Fast forward to today and India’s GDP has more than tripled, reaching $3.1 trillion in 2022. Over the next 15 years, it’s expected to triple yet again. What is behind this impressive growth?

For starters, the country’s economy had a lot more room to improve than other nations. Demographics are also working in the country’s favor. While the median age in many mature economies is shooting up, India has a youthful workforce. In fact, India’s median age is a full 20 years lower than Japan, which is currently the third largest economy.

Over the last 60 years, the service industry has boomed to around 55% of India’s GDP. Telecommunications, software, and IT generate most of the revenue in this sector. IT alone produces 10% of the country’s GDP. India’s large tech-savvy, English-speaking workforce has proved attractive for international companies like Intel, Google, Meta, Microsoft, IBM, and many others, while the domestic startup scene continues to boom.

The Indian government is also pursuing “production-linked incentives” (i.e. subsidies) for multinational companies looking to diversify their production away from China. If these incentives prove successful, more of the world’s solar panels and smartphones will be produced within India’s borders.

How Will the Global Economy Look in 2031?

By the year 2031, there will be major changes in the global economic power rankings.

As we said before: China will have become the world’s largest economy in terms of GDP and India will be the world’s third largest economy. Let’s also take a look at the top 10 economies by 2031.
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Out of the top five economies, three are located in Asia: China, India, and Japan?—a clear demonstration of how economic power is shifting towards large population centers in Asia.

Europe will have four countries in the top 10: Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy. From South America, only Brazil appears in the top 10.

Under these projections, Russia sits outside the top 10 in 2031. Of course, it remains to be seen how crushing sanctions and global isolation will affect the economic trajectory of the country.

Now, the big question. Is it inevitable that China takes the top spot in the
global economy as predicted by this forecast? The truth is that nothing is guaranteed. Other projections have modeled reasonable alternative scenarios for China’s economy. A debt crisis, international isolation, or a shrinking population could keep China’s economy in second place for longer than expected.



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (131386)7/23/2024 3:44:05 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218722
 
Re <<China cuts GDP growth target as it pushes through reforms, de-leveraging>>

... following up on our 2017 April dialogue
Message 31015412
guidance: inflation of the east and deflation of the west, per global equalisation of income and levelling of cost is on target, tracking true, calibrated okay, and aligned clear, per once in 800 years systemic revamp and rejuvenation restart
... if kept up for the next 25 years, would mean ... 5X current GDP ... or 11 Trillion => 55T, relative to rest of world at say ... being generous ... 2% growth ... 1.64X ... 64 T => 105 Trillion
55 out of 160 ... about 34% of global gdp ... close enough for govt work, per natural size in context of history, and not overtaking earlier peak at 36% of global gdp but close enough

looking like, adjusting for US$ 100 barbering, Team China shall soon take down 34% faster than 25 years, given accelerant 2020, and on pure manufacturing GDP, just and only took, say 8 years, close enough for government work

Message 34748714