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To: MonsieurGonzo who wrote (1690)	1/6/1998 2:32:00 PM
From: smolejv@gmx.net	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 11051

>>trying to screw up enough courage<< try screwing up harder (g) >>I don't understand the rally in bonds and lower US interest rates being coincident with rally in USD:DEM exchange rates ...do you ?<< The money is fleeing (probably from everywhere) to save havens. Where to? What are the the alternatives? Who's strong in this world of 1998? 1. US 2. Europe 3. Japan (;\ - you gotta be joking) Which of the two first alternatives is to be preferred (asking the lemmings)? Well, Europe at the moment has a few unanswered questions pending, the biggest being Euro. A supporting fact is the pound and its exchange rate history (and probably near future). So US is the preferred target; due to balance in interest rates the only leverage that remains from the market point of view is the dollar exchange rate. I guess... Any other opinions? To predict a little: the same trend will continue (talking about US$/DEM exchange rate) until at least may 98 or any other such moment when the world opinion about the European monetary union will change colours (for better or worse). Janko