To: John Pitera who wrote (18991 ) 4/10/2017 4:33:21 PM From: John Pitera 2 RecommendationsRecommended By Hawkmoon roguedolphin
Respond to of 33421 it makes sense to me Auto loan credit is tightening and Auto Loan growth is declining from 9% to 4 and change over the past year.......... record inventory of cars....... 8 years into a long economic expansion...... with The FED raising interest rates.... things look the darkest before the dawn and the converse of that is true too. 2. US loan growth continues to decelerate. • Auto loan growth has slowed further. By the way, the average vehicle loan size continues to rise, potentially indicating better sales in luxury autos. Makes sense that Luxury Auto's are selling with the market performance. Other areas of credit also show softer growth, resulting in a slowdown in total bank lending. 3. The federal government isn’t slowing its lending program as the total student loan balances hit $1.4 trillion. 4. Economists continue to debate the strength of US GDP growth. • On one hand, the Goldman Current Activity Indicator points to strength in economic activity. Source: Goldman Sachs, @joshdigga US consumer expectations indices have spiked, suggesting an improvement in consumption (the largest component of the GDP). This divergence certainly does not look sustainable. Source: Capital Economics • On the other hand, the dollar may be pointing to a correction in economic surprises. Source: TD Securities Moreover, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model Q1 GDP estimate just hit 0.6% – the lowest level we’ve seen for the quarter. Source: Atlanta Fed 5. Finally, we recorded the key markets’ immediate reaction to the US missile strike on Syria last Thursday night. Here is crude oil, the 10yr Treasury yield, the S&P500 futures, and gold.