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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: louel who wrote (133088)4/13/2017 6:52:35 PM
From: Elroy Jetson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217669
 
Your misunderstanding of the capabilities of anti-missile systems like Patriot and Iron Dome is very widespread, even though it's very well documented that the intercept rate in Israel against long range missiles is roughly 5% and this is very well documented.

These systems have the higher intercept rate you are talking about ONLY when dealing with rockets, not missiles, and only when they're fired from less than 2.5 miles away. - extremetech.com - en.wikipedia.org - nationalinterest.org - thebulletin.org

To achieve this minimal effectiveness Israel launches two $50,000 interceptor missiles to intercept one $700 rocket Hamas launches. These rockets have no in-flight evasion systems or randomizing capability in their flight controls. Propaganda journals like the "Jersusalem Post" make this trivial achievement using $100k to kill $7k sound really significant.

North Korea is a country, not a group of neighborhood thugs like Hamas launching one rocket every few minutes while taking videos and cheering for the camera. North Korea probably has a minimum of hundreds of thousands of little rockets which are far more capable than this sort. They could saturate Seoul and there's no effective defense.

While this is a problem for Seoul, the problem is North Korea has longer range missiles, things that strike a target hundreds or thousands of miles away.

In staged tests where the people operating the missile interceptor system know in advance of where a missile will be fired, without any alteration in flight path to provide evasion capacity, they can achieve a hit rate of 65% to 85%. But this is an entirely artificial situation test unlike anything you'd face from North Korea.

Because of these popular misconceptions in capability, real military plans are very different to what big talking guys on the street imagine is possible. Many like yourself live in a comic book world of superheros but that world isn't real.



To: louel who wrote (133088)4/13/2017 11:07:20 PM
From: bruiser98  Respond to of 217669
 
From a link in the article at the bottom of your post.

Slide 10:

Plan for nearly 500 B61-12s makes this the most expensive bomb project ever: each bomb will cost more than its own weight in solid gold

fas.org



To: louel who wrote (133088)4/14/2017 8:04:36 PM
From: bruiser98  Respond to of 217669
 
THAAD Flight and Intercept Tests Since 2005 (July 10, 2016)

mostlymissiledefense.com

The graph shows 12 tests, 14 successful intercepts, but test descriptions indicate that some of the tests didn't include targets.

'THAAD can intercept missiles 100 percent'

koreatimes.co.kr

>>>
Vice Adm. James Syring, director of the U.S. Missile Defense Agency (MDA), said Thursday that his country's advanced anti-missile defense system, scheduled to be deployed in South Korea next year, is capable of shooting down enemy missiles 100 percent of the time.<<<

>>>He said that a total of 13 tests have been conducted, and the documentation on tests showed that success records were at 100 percent.<<<<

He just looked at the graph without reading test descriptions?