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To: k.ramesh who wrote (5792)1/7/1998 1:40:00 AM
From: Rational  Respond to of 27307
 
Ramesh:

Japanese save a lot and export a lot. Their equity market has remained stagnant, except for great companies like Sony, Honda, Toyota. So they have been storing most of their money in US Treasury, stocks and bonds.

<< How come everyone expects the Japanese, or The foreign T bond holder etc.to act in unison ? >>

This unanimous expectation is dangerous, IMO. As you are saying below, I am beginning to believe that some of these hedge funds are going to go Kaput. Many smarter money managers have reversed their positions. Yen is firming up against the US$ today, reversing its downward trend. A sudden pull-out from the US$ (by selling US bonds and stocks and converting to Asian currencies) can have a very rapid decline in asset values, as Greenspan has hinted.

<< By the way, Is there a risk to the system, if a Soros type big gun goes broke. It is quite possible for some of these hedge fund guys to
to be on the wrong side of trades. >>

<< Somewhere I read that US bank exposure to Korea was $9 B. Would n't some currency traders be 1/10 th as big.>>

US banks' exposure to Korea is low. But, the main problem is that Korean banks and companies have raised massive amounts of public debt in the open global markets.

Sankar