To: Alys Hall who wrote (1010 ) 1/7/1998 11:31:00 AM From: Jim Baker Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 3702
Alys, you are now beginning to grasp some important issues. Let's talk false prophets. Davis and Shero and Dave suggested I was some sort of babe in the investing woods, a sucker for bright wall streeters like themselves. Rather than get into the mud to fight it out with them, I asked Davis a simple factual question about his track record. He never answered. But people on AOL did. If you believe them, it appears his track record isn't pretty. Sorta looks like TCLN wasn't his first dog. So it goes on the Net. You have a few know it alls who get up on the soap box and get real used to the sound of their own voices. If there is nothing to report from the company, they start to tell you about generic developments in the industry, and how great it might be for the company, even if there is no real connection between the generic developments and the company. Then, if there isn't enough to talk about, they start to tell you where they went to dinner last night, or fishing last week. They give you breathless real-time updates on what the market makers are doing with the stock. Pretty soon, you are going along with the flow, since it is all so smooth and comfortable. But then you look back and realize that for all the chit chat, they never told you the stock was going straight-line from $7 to $1.75. Then you begin to realize that the new CEO isn't a cure-all, that the CEO isn't even priority A or B. Let's try some common sense. The market has now been told by Davis and shero that a new CEO is coming next week. It may even be true. Knowing this, the market still drives the stock down. Ask yourself why! Here's my guess as to what is really important, listed in rough order of importance: 1. Where is the new Oncolym partner to replace Alpha? 2. What is the status of the Peregrine technology licensing? 3. Can new funding (again) be obtained prior to the company running out of cash? 4. Can the stock price rise before the Reg-D cap is set in March? 5. Who is the new CEO and how long will it take him to find his way to the executive washroom? You are welcome to add your own guesses as to what is really driving this stock and what is really important.