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To: Kirk © who wrote (5186)

5/12/2017 11:02:36 AM

From: The Ox

1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kirk ©

Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 8288

There's no real rule of how or why a stock gets put on the reversal watch list. The decision can be somewhat arbitrary when I look at a company but in general, it's when the stock has been sliding for a while or recently reached a new 52 week low while also being considered for "potential" future investments or trades. Some make our trading portfolio, many do not.

There is a rule that a stock must rebound 20% to be taken off. That rule is adjusted now and then for certain stocks or ETFs/ETNs whenever I consider it appropriate. For example: Message 30562468

I'm putting UUP on reversal watch. Due to the nature of this beast, I'm lowering the limit to a 5% move, as even 10% seems like a reach at the moment. Time to start watching for a reversal, IMO:

With respect to FNSR, normally I would be hesitant to put a stock on the reversal watch after it's already rebounded 15%. I have no worries about placing any stock on the list, especially when requested by others. If the stock drifts lower, each new low that gets made after a stock is on the list reduces the "rebound" bar, price wise. I also adjust the date in the portfolio to match the low being shown. I try to update the portfolio regularly and rarely miss "new lows" for very long (but it certainly can happen).

I'll go ahead and put it on reversal watch and we'll see how long it takes to move up another 20% from here or from its next bottom.

Portfolio "Reversal Watch", Manager: The Ox

To: Kirk © who wrote (5186)

6/6/2017 2:52:39 PM

From: The Ox

1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kirk ©

Respond to of 8288

FNSR comes off reversal watch:

Portfolio "Removed from Reversal Watch", Manager: The Ox

Symbol	Src	Price	Chg	Chg %	Shares	Share Cost	Low	High	Mkt Value	Val Chg	Basis	Gain	Gain %	Trade Date
ESV					1	4.210					$4.21			01 Sep 2017
ACET	TWD	7.940	-0.560	-7.1 %	1	8.290	7.880	8.500	$7.94	($0.56)	$8.29	($0.35)	-4.2 %	03 Nov 2017
ACET	TWD	7.940	-0.560	-7.1 %	1	13.50	7.880	8.500	$7.94	($0.56)	$13.50	($5.56)	-41.2 %	10 May 2017
AKAM	TWD	97.14	-2.21	-2.3 %	1	44.65	95.94	99.25	$97.14	($2.21)	$44.65	$52.49	117.6 %	21 Aug 2017
AKS	AV	1.550	0.000	0.0 %	1	4.000	1.550	1.550	$1.55		$4.00	($2.45)	-61.3 %	15 Nov 2017
AMRS	AV	0.0500	0.0500	100.0 %	1	2.270	0.0500	0.0600	$0.05	$0.05	$2.27	($2.22)	-97.8 %	29 Aug 2017
APC	AV	72.77	0.56	0.8 %	1	39.96	72.12	72.95	$72.77	$0.56	$39.96	$32.81	82.1 %	29 Aug 2017
ASTE	TWD	48.64	0.22	0.5 %	1	45.70	47.68	48.87	$48.64	$0.22	$45.70	$2.94	6.4 %	18 Aug 2017
AZO	TWD	3,704	1	0.0 %	1	491.13	3,667	3,725	$3,704.29	$0.53	$491.13	$3,213.16	654.2 %	20 Jul 2017
BBBY	TWD	5.910	-0.380	-6.4 %	1	19.10	5.900	6.300	$5.91	($0.38)	$19.10	($13.19)	-69.1 %	08 Nov 2017
CVG	AV	24.41	0.00	0.0 %	1	20.15	24.41	24.41	$24.41		$20.15	$4.26	21.1 %	27 Mar 2017
DB	TWD	39.22	0.10	0.3 %	1	16.00	39.04	39.73	$39.22	$0.10	$16.00	$23.22	145.1 %	08 Sep 2017
FLR	TWD	46.19	-0.77	-1.7 %	1	37.04	45.54	47.27	$46.19	($0.77)	$37.04	$9.15	24.7 %	21 Aug 2017
FNSR	AV	23.77	0.00	0.0 %	1	17.20	23.77	23.77	$23.77		$17.20	$6.57	38.2 %	06 Dec 2017
FNSR	AV	23.77	0.00	0.0 %	1	22.51	23.77	23.77	$23.77		$22.51	$1.26	5.6 %	18 May 2017
FSLR	TWD	225.45	1.44	0.6 %	1	25.56	220.85	233.00	$225.45	$1.44	$25.56	$199.89	782.0 %	05 Apr 2017
GILD	TWD	141.98	2.43	1.7 %	1	63.76	138.65	142.20	$141.98	$2.43	$63.76	$78.22	122.7 %	16 Jun 2017
GRA	AV	69.99	0.00	0.0 %	1	63.37	69.99	69.99	$69.99		$63.37	$6.62	10.4 %	02 Dec 2016
GWW	TWD	1,080	-2	-0.2 %	1	155.00	1,066	1,083	$1,079.94	($2.27)	$155.00	$924.94	596.7 %	28 Aug 2017
INFN	AV	6.640	0.000	0.0 %	1	9.090	6.640	6.640	$6.64		$9.09	($2.45)	-27.0 %	19 May 2017
LC	TWD	16.91	0.47	2.8 %	1	3.400	16.20	17.15	$16.91	$0.47	$3.40	$13.51	397.4 %	11 Dec 2017
LKQ	TWD	32.84	0.22	0.7 %	1	27.89	32.22	33.14	$32.84	$0.22	$27.89	$4.95	17.7 %	17 Apr 2017
LXU	TWD	9.290	-0.280	-3.0 %	1	5.550	9.130	9.520	$9.29	($0.28)	$5.55	$3.74	67.4 %	25 Aug 2017
RIG	TWD	4.970	0.050	1.0 %	1	7.200	4.850	5.010	$4.97	$0.05	$7.20	($2.23)	-31.0 %	25 Aug 2017
SNCR	TWD	8.820	0.040	0.5 %	1	11.15	8.750	8.920	$8.82	$0.04	$11.15	($2.33)	-20.9 %	27 Apr 2017
SYNA	TWD	82.50	-3.39	-4.1 %	1	33.73	81.27	85.58	$82.50	($3.39)	$33.73	$48.77	144.6 %	03 Nov 2017
TEVA	TWD	34.08	1.01	3.0 %	1	15.22	32.35	34.11	$34.08	$1.01	$15.22	$18.86	123.9 %	06 Sep 2017
TGI	AV	26.01	0.16	0.6 %	1	19.80	25.83	26.03	$26.01	$0.16	$19.80	$6.21	31.4 %	15 May 2017
TGT	TWD	105.49	2.65	2.5 %	1	48.56	102.36	105.51	$105.49	$2.65	$48.56	$56.93	117.2 %	16 Jun 2017
UFPI	TWD	103.29	0.79	0.8 %	3	25.93	100.58	103.80	$309.87	$2.37	$77.80	$232.07	298.3 %	18 Aug 2017
VECO	TWD	31.23	-1.51	-4.8 %	1	18.30	31.00	32.72	$31.23	($1.51)	$18.30	$12.93	70.7 %	21 Aug 2017
VSAT	TWD	45.18	-1.05	-2.3 %	1	58.62	44.40	48.56	$45.18	($1.05)	$58.62	($13.44)	-22.9 %	18 Aug 2017
WAIR	AV	11.04	0.00	0.0 %	1	7.460	11.04	11.04	$11.04		$7.46	$3.58	48.0 %	10 May 2017
Total									$6,345.82	($0.68)	$1,437.17	$4,912.86	341.8 %