SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (77162)6/2/2017 5:37:01 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86355
 
My Toyota Camry is now 19 years old with plenty of life left in it. 20 years from now, it will be obsolete in many ways. So if I buy a new one now, with the same basic technology, it will be scrap long before its mechanical life is over.

Things do take longer than I think [that's my experience anyway - mobile Cyberspace has taken 15 years longer than I thought it would take and mobile phones are cheap little things to make, unlike cars and all the infrastructure to support them.

But electric cars have been going for years and autonomous systems such as self-parking, auto-braking, stay in lane etc have been under development for decades. At some stage, the car will be autonomous. Hybrids will be replaced by all-electric. Uberizing will avoid ownership cost and that process is well underway with hordes of people getting an Uber instead of using their own car.

At some stage, cars will be electric, Uberized, autopiloted. Legacy cars like my Camry will be banned as too dangerous and obstructive to the flow of traffic. Maybe they'll still be allowed in certain regions.

Autonomous cars will first take over places like Singapore, London, Tokyo, Beijing, Paris, Stockholm, New York, then work their way out to the hinterlands. Motorways will also be ideal places for autonomous vehicles [very few people, animals, other stuff, on the road for example, and straightforward driving].

Mqurice