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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Don S.Boller who wrote (12755)	1/7/1998 5:52:00 PM
From: gregor	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Don: There has to be some precedence on what the overall market will do in times that are so quiet. I'm not going to venture an opinion when I admittedly am uncertain of the future so therefore will observe only. Like an avalanche, something has to trigger the event leading to an historic decline. If the sentiment is there for a bear market, then how bad can it be ? It's at those times where euphoria exists that the greatest danger presents itself. If we already are in a bear market then given a 6 to 15 month time frame we are already between 50 % to 20% through it. It basically boils down to time frames. I doubt that investors are going to be juggling stocks, portfolios, and industry groups with reckless abandon at this stage of the "bear market". I am in the stocks that I feel will be a lot higher 3 to 5 years down the road and might make minor adjustments but IMO the ultimate losers will be those that freak out and go 100% into cash waiting for the big one. gregor

To: Don S.Boller who wrote (12755)	1/7/1998 11:26:00 PM
From: Brad Bolen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

RE: Most of the threads I watch are also quiet...maybe the bears have gone into the caves for forty winks <g>. Suffice it to say - if this market won't sell off big time - on bad news - then sure as he## it's going up! Some of the bears are only techno- bears - i.e., momentum players. Those that base their position on FA factors will be easily "converted" wtih a 500 point move to the upside. BWDIK Don You see how sneaky a Bear is? The Dow was still down all week, and the Naz down about 18, and these guys are ready to have a party. B.