To: DX who wrote (11415 ) 1/8/1998 12:38:00 PM From: The Phoenix Respond to of 77400
China... been enjoying a yearly growth rate of more than 50% for five years(93% last year). It has a $140B reserve to back up its national projects for its infomation super highways. If CSCO does not do(or ignores as you suggested) bussiness with this huge and fast growing market, I really want to recommend everyone on this thread to avoid CSCO ASAP. DX, what makes you think CSCO is ignoring this market? IMHO CSCO has a lower % exposure to the asian market relative to it's competitors because CSCO "owns" so much of the market outside of Asia. Thus Asia represents a smaller percentage of CSCO's biz... Also, this being the case, Asian problems are likely to have a smaller downside effect on CSCO's numbers.CSCO may live on its past glory(routers) and fall behind in new technologies like backbone ATM switches(ASND just claims it is half year to one year ahead its competitors on this technology). Again, what makes you think CSCO is not developing new technolgies and new products? Of course ASND is going to say that have the lead, but rememeber StrataCom was building ATM switches and installing them in networks before Cascade was even a twinkle in someone's eye. Furthermore remember CSCO spent a health sum on StrataCom - I would therfore assume they are letting that group develop new products. It obviously wouldn't make any sense to do otherwise. So, I'm confused by your alarmist comments. FOR EVERYONE ELSE - ESPECIALLY THE SHORTS. Either you all believe CSCO will pull back due to CSCO market issues or you believe that macro issues, such as Asia will cause this. If it's the later than I would argue that it's a market issue and not particular to this security. If this is your thinking then you should should point out your comments are directed not a CSCO, but at the market as a whole. If you however believe CSCO will pull back due to issues other than fluctuations in the market as a whole, then I for one would like to understand why you believe this. Gary