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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Don Green who wrote (19664)8/4/2017 12:14:21 PM
From: The Ox1 Recommendation

Recommended By
John Pitera

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
Being rigid or stubborn is no way to trade or play the markets.

Seeing the possibility of a large fall and having that play out are 2 very different things.
If by Nov 1, the market is down or was recently down more than 17.5 % percent you deserve all the praise in the world, but if it isn't, I hope you will acknowledge your mistake and do not push the can down the road like is so common in the world of the bears.
The question we all should consider is what will happen to all the algos and trading desks once there is some serious momentum to the downside. Not for an hour or 2 or even a day or 2 but after something like 4 out of 5 days. I realize that this hasn't happened since the winter of 2015/16 but it will eventually happen again.

Regardless of how much emotion is being taken out of the market by algos and program trading, momentum is momentum. It's the pendulum that swings in both direction. It certainly can swing higher and longer in any one direction than most would believe but it will eventually take some time to swing in the opposite direction.