To: Don Green who wrote (19705 ) 8/12/2017 9:55:31 AM From: John Pitera Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421 HI Don, we had a PM were we discussed a few things off the record.Message 31210170 The second half of the PM was nothing specific to what we were discussing and I felt the timing was right for . to be looking at the long side from UXVY........ I have spent several years and numerous posts commenting about what a volatility decay drain so many of these products were. Gundlach loaded up on short puts or long volatility back in April and I had no response as it did not fit with all of my price, cycle, time Pattern, seasonal and other work. I really did see I am getting very, very exciting about what I am seeing in The major global asset markets..... we are going to have some very exciting times in the next 90 days. I have never been interested in UXVY and always felt it was a waste of money... ... and I am just starting to get interested in maybe putting a very small asset allocation in it. .... look at all of the volume coming into this ETF..... is the the dumb money or the Smart Money? It might just be some smart money showing up in this recently You have never, ever seen me even contemplate these typical value traps. here is what has happened in the ensuing week on the 10 day daily chart...... and as you can see the bid...ask spread was very tight on August 4th. the UVXY has to be traded like a short dated option.... or even a futures.... contract... When Gundlach is so safe as to pretty only a 3% correction between now and November....... and knowing that he has made several calls and been early....... This is the time with him only willing to venture a 3% correction in stocks.... that we are going to get a 25% correction..... as we hit the peak downward momentum of the cyclical psychological, as we as this crazy hedging scheme of Parity hedging in the ETF's. The volatility has really been drying up.... always a good precursor for a market that is getting ready to take a bad spill. .The market may appear to be shrugging off escalating tensions with North Korea, but Wall Street strategist Thomas Lee believes investors shouldn't get too comfortable. Lee, who had been one of the Street's most bullish strategists but is now among its most bearish, doesn't see a great risk reward and is urging clients to use discipline in the stock market. "What gets us worried is that these geopolitical tensions have a chance of escalating at a time when I think Washington is not running like a smooth machine," Fundstrat Global Advisors' co-founder said Wednesday on CNBC's " Trading Nation ." "With a fiscal cliff coming and some major reform bills that investors have been banking on, I think it does create sort of the kind of headline events that could end up triggering a big jump in volatility ." The major indexes are coming off their second negative session in a row. The S&P 500 , Dow and Nasdaq fell by fractions of a percent, but they're still up at least 15 percent since the November presidential election. "You'd expect investors to be taking some action. I think it really speaks to ownership of the equity market today — that passive funds aren't necessarily going to react to headlines like this," said Lee.He expects the S&P 500 to fall by 8 percent to 2275 by year's end and doesn't see any major catalysts to drive stocks higher. With Howard Marks comments.....worthy of substantial examination, as are a deeper look at Gundlach's thoughts..... Alan's Greenspan is righter than he know regrading a global bond bubble Lee Cooperman was on the 12 PM show and he commented that he wanted cheaper prices to buy stocks at....... Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have 100 Billion in cash.... they would love to put to work...... but are not. and Jim Paulson was on on 08/04/17 with his 10 gallon hat and his spurs on boots. -------------------------------------- 'The bull market could continue forever' — strategist Jim Paulsen outlines conditions The stock market "has an awful good gig going," Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold, says. The Dow was coming off its seventh straight record high ahead of Friday's release of the government's July employment report. Matthew J. Belvedere | @Matt_Belvedere Published 8:01 AM ET Fri, 4 Aug 2017 | Updated 10:54 AM ET Fri, 4 Aug 2017 --------------------------------- John