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To: Return to Sender who wrote (76718)8/15/2017 11:55:00 PM
From: Return to Sender2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Donald Wennerstrom
The Ox

  Respond to of 95530
 

Range-Bound Tuesday Session Leaves Equities Little Changed
15-Aug-17 16:30 ET
Dow +5.28 at 21998.99, Nasdaq -7.22 at 6332.99, S&P -1.23 at 2464.57

briefing.com

[BRIEFING.COM] Wall Street followed up Monday's rally with a rather dull, range-bound session on Tuesday that left the major averages little changed. The Dow (unch) eked out a narrow victory while the S&P 500 (-0.1%) and the Nasdaq (-0.1%) each settled just a tick below their unchanged marks. Small caps underperformed, sending the Russell 2000 lower by 0.8%.

Investors rolled into pre-market action on Tuesday with a boost of confidence following news that North Korea's Supreme leader Kim Jong-un has decided against launching missiles towards the U.S. territory of Guam, which he threatened to do last week. However, he did warn that he could change his mind "if the Yankees persist in their extremely dangerous reckless actions."

A hotter than expected July Retail Sales Report (+0.6% actual vs +0.3% Briefing.com consensus) tempered the upbeat sentiment, though, forcing investors to rethink their rate-hike expectations. At the closing bell, the fed funds futures market assigned an implied probability of 55.2% to a December rate hike, up from 37.4% on Monday.

U.S. Treasuries slid to new lows following the retail sales release, pushing the benchmark 10-yr yield as high as 2.28%. In the end, the 10-yr yield finished five basis points higher at 2.27% and the 2-yr yield finished four basis points higher at 1.35%. Underpinned by the increase in interest rates, the U.S. Dollar Index (93.72, +0.38) advanced 0.4%.

The most influential sectors--technology (+0.2%) and financials (+0.2%)--exhibited relative strength throughout the session, helping to keep losses in check. The financial space opened with a gain of around 1.0%, but began fading almost immediately. The technology group was underpinned by yet another positive performance from Apple (AAPL 161.60, +1.75), which climbed 1.1% to a new all-time high.

In addition to technology and financials, the utilities (+0.5%), consumer staples (+0.5%), and materials (unch) sectors finished in positive territory. On the flip side, the consumer discretionary (-0.9%), industrials (-0.2%), energy (-0.4%), health care (unch), telecom services (-1.0%), and real estate (-0.3%) groups closed in the red.

Retailers headlined the earnings front after names like Home Depot (HD 150.17, -4.09), TJX (TJX 70.16, +0.54), Coach (COH 40.64, -7.28), Advance Auto (AAP 87.08, -22.24), and Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS 26.87, -8.04) delivered their quarterly results. The reactions were largely negative as four of the five aforementioned companies finished in negative territory.

Dick's Sporting Goods, Advanced Auto, and Coach plunged 23.0%, 20.3%, and 15.2%, respectively, after all three companies lowered their outlooks for the fiscal year. AAP and DKS also missed earnings estimates while COH came up short on revenue expectations. Meanwhile, Home Depot dropped 2.7% despite beating bottom-line estimates and raising its guidance.

TJX was the lone advancer, climbing 0.8%, in reaction to better than expected earnings. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 38.59, -1.07) dropped 2.7% to close at its worst level since February 2016.

Reviewing Tuesday's big batch of economic data, which included July Retail Sales, July Import/Export Prices, June Business Inventories, August Empire Manufacturing, and the August NAHB Housing Market Index:

  • July retail sales increased 0.6%, which is above the Briefing.com consensus of +0.3%. The prior month's reading was revised to +0.3% from -0.2%. Excluding autos, retail sales increased 0.5% while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 0.3%. The prior month's reading was revised to +0.1% from -0.2%. Core retail sales, which exclude auto, gasoline station, building materials, and food services & drinking places sales, increased 0.5% and the June decline of 0.1% was revised to an uptick of 0.1%.
    • Core retail sales is the component that factors into the PCE goods component of the GDP report, so the key takeaway from the retail sales data is that it points to a rebound in spending on consumer goods in July after a weak finish to the second quarter. This should be a positive input for Q2 GDP models.
  • Import prices excluding oil declined 0.1% in July after rising 0.1% in June. Export prices excluding agriculture increased 0.3% in July after finishing flat in June.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that inflation readings remain low, but there are some hints of a possible turn in the near future.
  • Business Inventories rose 0.5% in June, which is above the Briefing.com consensus of 0.4%. The prior month's reading was left unrevised at +0.3%.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that while sales have increased, the pace of growth was below that of inventories. This means there are still some hurdles in the way of restoration of pricing power.
  • The Empire Manufacturing Survey for August rose to 25.2 from the prior month's reading of 9.8. The Briefing.com consensus estimate was pegged at 13.0.
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for August rose to 68 (Briefing.com consensus 65) from an unrevised reading of 64 in July.
On Wednesday, investors will receive just two pieces of economic data--the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index and July Housing Starts (Briefing.com consensus 1.217 million). The two reports will be released at 7:00 ET and 8:30 ET, respectively.

Also of note, the minutes from the July 25-26 FOMC meeting will be released at 14:00 ET.

  • Nasdaq Composite +17.7% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +11.3% YTD
  • S&P 500 +10.1% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +1.9% YTD



To: Return to Sender who wrote (76718)8/16/2017 6:08:49 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95530
 
57% Upside Volume on the NYSE - 60% Upside Volume on the NASDAQ:

online.wsj.com

We are getting a bounce but we still have more New Lows than New Highs on both the NYSE and NASDAQ. I continue to be concerned that the underlying character of the market is showing that a deeper correction is coming. JMHO based on this data. RtS

Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Notice to readers: As of 3/3/11, Closing ARMS Index (TRIN) calculation is based on composite data. Click here for historical data prior to 3/3/11.
NYSE Latest close Previous close Week ago
Issues traded 3,081 3,092 3,087
Advances 1,798 1,085 907
Declines 1,184 1,891 2,064
Unchanged 99 116 116
New highs 81 57 63
New lows 100 120 89
Adv. volume* 421,162,395 274,462,869 275,612,182
Decl. volume* 300,784,467 414,054,589 504,950,309
Total volume* 730,751,757 700,838,737 805,879,901
Closing tick +92 +157 +173
Closing Arms (TRIN)† 1.12 0.94 0.84
Block trades* 6,433 5,798 6,398
Adv. volume 1,664,613,521 1,072,702,113 1,095,910,235
Decl. volume 1,224,022,437 1,759,254,574 2,085,573,422
Total volume 2,928,229,322 2,884,775,152 3,278,651,779
Nasdaq Latest close Previous close Week ago
Issues traded 3,053 3,058 3,021
Advances 1,580 947 822
Declines 1,279 1,943 2,062
Unchanged 194 168 137
New highs 56 59 41
New lows 88 98 119
Closing tick +35 +160 -337
Closing Arms (TRIN)† 0.78 0.57 0.72
Block trades 9,378 6,196 8,266
Adv. volume 1,061,776,031 704,546,330 694,820,769
Decl. volume 672,740,788 822,416,080 1,262,404,252
Total volume 1,778,727,433 1,559,068,669 2,000,665,756
NYSE American Latest close Previous close Week ago
Issues traded 330 335 336
Advances 176 94 92
Declines 121 226 224
Unchanged 33 15 20
New highs 3 1 ...
New lows 11 8 10
Adv. volume* 3,732,191 2,169,792 3,668,600
Decl. volume* 1,840,125 4,305,625 5,075,024
Total volume* 5,881,043 6,621,924 8,996,839
Closing tick +39 +12 -61
Closing Arms (TRIN)† 0.59 0.96 0.44
Block trades* 62 94 109
Adv. volume 46,943,913 17,874,238 45,596,079
Decl. volume 19,006,650 41,163,085 49,002,516
Total volume 69,398,668 60,899,261 96,840,085
NYSE Arca Latest close Previous close Week ago
Issues traded 1,294 1,284 1,287
Advances 963 409 410
Declines 316 828 852
Unchanged 15 47 25
New highs 40 13 7
New lows 46 40 11
Adv. volume* 147,829,492 67,100,549 134,699,756
Decl. volume* 88,258,528 117,303,014 109,783,539
Total volume* 238,382,467 189,899,151 258,717,385
Closing tick +23 -37 +29
Closing Arms (TRIN)† 2.11 0.98 0.45
Block trades* 1,308 1,015 1,356
Adv. volume 536,378,336 247,823,483 496,179,474
Decl. volume 371,727,880 490,044,285 461,562,174
Total volume 922,166,832 761,413,297 1,012,502,552

*Primary market NYSE, NYSE American or NYSE Arca only. †Compares the ratio of advancing to declining issues with the ratio of volume of shares rising and falling. Arms Index or TRIN = (advancing issues / declining issues) / (composite volume of advancing issues / composite volume of declining issues.) Generally, an Arms of less than 1.00 indicates buying demand; above 1.00 indicates selling pressure.










RtS