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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (16717)8/25/2017 7:37:23 PM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Respond to of 26061
 
"why isn't Harvey a Cat 5?".... "(Provided it hits as a Cat 3)."

Very simply because Harvey is running out of bath water with which to intensify... Make no mistake about it. Harvey is still intensifying even though the authorities have now declared it a CAT IV... The red and yellow storm bands are much tighter now; the eye itself is more concentric, with no debris clouds; highly likely that the eye is "spinning down" (getting tighter) right now, meaning further intensification. What is missing is about another 40 miles or so of hot salty water necessary to reach Cat V... The intense eye wall storms are just off shore from the barrier islands. There are no mountains, no dry air, no steering winds, no jet stream winds, no cold fronts, no warm fronts... Nothing to move Harvey one way or the other... Theoretically, he could "stall" just off shore and continue to intensify, but my guess is that he'll go inland 20 to 40 miles or thereabouts before stalling... Just an educated guess though...

EK!!!