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To: Don Green who wrote (96528)9/8/2017 4:11:20 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Mevis
Oblivious

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 220819
 
My hunch as it skirts Cuba, it will likely minimize some before turning north onto Florida, so by the time it reach our areas we may see maximum winds of maybe 115 possible as a cat 3 near the minimal side of the cat 3 level... this is the best I could expect and hope for... and then, landfall would be across the middle keys and then main landfall west of the east coast of Florida, possibly closer to the center of the State... so it would still be a serious hurricane but absolute devastation may possibly be diverted... we'll see...

Of course, this is my best hope and also wild hunch based on the push south with Cuba serving as a wind break...

By this time tomorrow morning I'll be out of communication with the world, at least for a while, we're already hunkered down in our bunker...

GZ



To: Don Green who wrote (96528)9/8/2017 4:58:14 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™  Respond to of 220819
 
5 AM IRMA UPDATE

At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 73.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or so with a decrease in
forward speed. A turn toward the northwest is expected by late
Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should continue to
move westward away from the Turks and Caicos Islands and toward the
southeastern Bahamas this morning. The core of the hurricane will
then move between the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the
next day or two, and be near the Florida Keys and the southern
Florida Peninsula Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a
powerful category 4 hurricane during the next couple of days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches).

nhc.noaa.gov

GZ