To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (1063 ) 1/11/1998 12:21:00 AM From: Don Green Respond to of 1756
Gifts of Gold from WSJ.. The passing of the calendar year had no healing effect on Asia's diving currencies, whose values continued to whistle on down in the first week of trading in 1998. Having already hit up the International Monetary Fund, Japan and the U.S. for aid, regional governments are now looking for parachutes in less orthodoxes places: their citizens' jewelry boxes. Leaders in Thailand and Korea have appealed to the people to turn in their gold trinkets so that the central bank can melt them down and buy dollars to prop up their leaden currencies. In return for their offerings, Thai donors will receive government bonds, and Koreans will be repaid in won within a month. The idea that thousands of people will lug their gilded buddha statuettes, first-place medals and other baubles down to collection points is rather bizarre, given the Asian tradition of buying and holding onto gold for dear life in times of crisis. There are unconfirmable estimates that Koreans hold an estimated 2,000 tons of gold, worth $20 billion, which if it were all delivered would amount to about one-third of the IMF bailout package. The Korean gold campaign claims that something over $100 million worth of gold has already been collected in a drive that will continue until the end of the month. Skeptics are told to remember that a similar program instituted in the beginning of the century to pay debts owed to colonial ruler Japan raised about one-sixth of the debt, but those were different circumstances in a different time. In Thailand, some 10,000 gold traders will each hand over one kilogram of the precious metal. The Bank of Thailand expects the public to pitch in with another 10 tons, although we are not sure what basis there is for that expectation. The recent selling of gold by central banks--not only in Asia but in some other countries of the world--may be one reason the market price of gold has dropped. That, of course, makes public offerings ever smaller drops in the bucket of needed funds. In fact, the major benefit of these programs, to the extent they succeed at all, is likely to be psychological, not economic. Leaders are appealing to their people on patriotic grounds. Thailand's gold drive is called "Thai Chuay Thai," or "Thais helping Thais." Self-help programs are seen as bolstering national self respect, which has been weakened by the need to resort to IMF bailouts and to submit to IMF conditions. The gold drives may help some overcome the sense of helplessness they feel as they watch their wealth evaporate, although others may take the more self- protective approach of hanging onto gold as long as they can. As for outside onlookers, they no doubt will be more impressed when they see Asian governments taking more substantive measures than gold drives to restore the value of their currencies.