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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Houle who wrote (6746)1/9/1998 12:29:00 AM
From: Brent D. Beal  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13594
 
. . .Perhaps I am splitting hairs. I admit to agreeing to most of the points you make about
AOL stock. . .
***

I think this hair will be unsplit when it become apparent that there isn't a pot of gold at the end of the membership rainbow. At that point it will become painfully clear that investors do not care about most of the things you mention--revenues, membership, etc. etc. and the stock will start trading at a reasonable multiple, which in my opinion is a generous forward p/e of maybe 25 or 30. I think they're going to make around $.50/share this year (if everything goes well), so I have a target of about $15 for the stock.