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To: Steve who wrote (1043)	1/9/1998 9:02:00 PM
From: Dave Warner	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1470

Great marketing paper on Java, thanks Steve. I enjoyed the conclusion, that although we "still have a few more years", "Java will eventually take over and eat most other programming languages". Sure. According to Meta Group, there are a trillion lines of code in 500 programming languages currently in production (worldwide). The Gartner Group estimates that there are over 192 billion lines of Cobol code in existence, and this is still increasing at 5 billion lines per year - they also say that of the ~3 million programmers in the world, 80% use Cobol. A 1994 study by IDC showed that 60% of companies planned to maintain or increase their reliance on Cobol. In 1995/1996, Sentry Research reported that even in the client-server arena, Cobol is used by 21%, second only to Visual Basic at 23% and ahead of C++ at 18%. All this Java hype is all the same stuff people were saying about C and C++ a few years ago. By the way, I hate Cobol. It is about the only language that I refuse to code in (although LISP and Smalltalk rank up there pretty high). Unfortunately, I haven't had an opportunity to learn Java yet. But I do think that a large portion of Java is hype. By the way, do you know how much of NetMagnet was written in Java? It isn't all Java, is it?