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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (20205)10/25/2017 2:36:33 PM
From: Logain Ablar1 Recommendation

Recommended By
John Pitera

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi John:

Look at how much more debt there is today than in 1982 but on a nominal and relative to GDP basis.

It won't take long to double our FED level interest expense and $1 Trillion / year is not that far off. It's past time to lock in the $20 Trillion debt (ignoring the unfunded liabilities) to 100 year bonds.

Interest Expense Fiscal Year 2017Fiscal Year Total
September$23,914,247,176.45
August$30,324,233,164.14
July$28,671,601,995.56
June$90,430,128,133.93
May$27,813,382,528.89
April$34,427,219,754.16
March$34,785,052,636.90
February$25,711,352,044.37
January$23,338,913,013.07
December$87,429,358,218.60
November$28,653,503,936.00
October$23,043,294,709.73
$458,542,287,311.80

Available Historical Data Fiscal Year End
2016$432,649,652,901.12
2015$402,435,356,075.49
2014$430,812,121,372.05
2013$415,688,781,248.40
2012$359,796,008,919.49
2011$454,393,280,417.03
2010$413,954,825,362.17
2009$383,071,060,815.42
2008$451,154,049,950.63
2007$429,977,998,108.20
2006$405,872,109,315.83
2005$352,350,252,507.90
2004$321,566,323,971.29
2003$318,148,529,151.51
2002$332,536,958,599.42
2001$359,507,635,242.41
2000$361,997,734,302.36
1999$353,511,471,722.87
1998$363,823,722,920.26
1997$355,795,834,214.66
1996$343,955,076,695.15
1995$332,413,555,030.62
1994$296,277,764,246.26
1993$292,502,219,484.25
1992$292,361,073,070.74
1991$286,021,921,181.04
1990$264,852,544,615.90
1989$240,863,231,535.71
1988$214,145,028,847.73



To: John Pitera who wrote (20205)10/25/2017 2:54:53 PM
From: Fintas1 Recommendation

Recommended By
John Pitera

  Respond to of 33421
 
John P...

Profound indeed. Thanks for the chart and the benefit of your experiences over YEARS. Fintas

This is a VERY PROFOUND CHART...... In has Implications for Equity Prices, Commodity prices,
Interest Rate directions and also will be impacting the Major Currencies.



To: John Pitera who wrote (20205)10/26/2017 11:02:52 AM
From: The Ox1 Recommendation

Recommended By
John Pitera

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
A significant portion of current US citizens/investors have never been in a prolonged period of rising rates.

The ramifications are still down the road by a few quarters at a minimum but they are coming soon enough.

The march north in global stock indexes can continue for a while but a reminder to all, usually, it's not a good idea to be the one who is turning out the lights after everyone has left the party!!