SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Biotech / Medical : Trillium Therapeutics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bladerunner17 who wrote (98)11/7/2017 4:07:04 PM
From: semi_infinite   Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 294
 
Peter had commented in valuation thread that

"If you take a stock like Trillium that's obviously very hard to do. If everything goes right it's a couple of a billion dollar stock. But what is the chance of that? Is it 1%, 5%, 10% or 20%? It's no more than an educated guess - the market is currently more at the 1% chance. "

Prior market cap high was around $180M in 2015. We are 90% of the way there. Let's say we get there, is that 2% odds or 20% odds as Peter's math is foggy. Seems 2B market cap is awfully low if everything goes right but I have no idea what would be appropriate.