To: P2V who wrote (3429 ) 1/11/1998 8:48:00 PM From: jkb Respond to of 6980
Article regarding Asian exposure for network vendors. -Jay ____ January 12, 1998, Issue: 1091 Section: News Network vendors face slowdown Tom McHale Asia's economic meltdown has pulled the rug out from under one of network equipment and chip suppliers' most lucrative markets. Six months ago vendors were crowing about Asia as a launchpad for skyrocketing sales. San Jose-based Cisco Systems Inc., for example, showed 120% growth in China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan in fiscal 1997. But with banks from Jakarta to Seoul straining under the weight of loans gone bad, network vendors have lost a major market. The extent of the slowdown wasn't clear until late last month. In-Stat Inc., Scottsdale, Ariz., had forecast 24% growth in worldwide sales of networking equipment, down from a sizzling 48% in 1996. But, in December, it revised its 1997 estimate to 16%. The total value of the global market in 1997 is expected to be $26.4 billion. Last week, 3Com Corp., Santa Clara, Calif., said that a 91% drop in profits for the second quarter of fiscal 1998 was due in part to Asia's slowdown. Cisco, which has dominated the network equipment business, acknowledged that Asian revenue would drop from 15% of total sales in fiscal 1997 to between 12% and 13% in fiscal 1998. The one bright spot is China, where sales remained strong at the end of the year. Cabletron Systems, Rochester, N.H., which last week announced layoffs and restructuring, is moving staff from Singapore to China, where it is playing catch-up with Cisco, 3Com, and others. With sales falling in Southeast Asia, South Korea, and Japan, network equipment makers are hoping that China won't succumb to Asia's malaise. China's banks, however, are carrying bad loans that dwarf those of South Korea. The network vendors are biting their nails and betting that Beijing's leaders will keep the economy insulated from the real world. Success in China depends on distributors capable of providing Chinese-language support. Cisco, 3Com, and Santa Clara-based Bay Networks Inc. have battled over channels for several years. Equipment vendors are looking to chip makers to help cut the cost of building 100-Mbit/s Ethernet switches by up to 50% in 1998. But even that level of margin slashing may not be enough to keep sales moving in the new Asia.