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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Earlie who wrote (25353)1/10/1998 11:07:00 PM
From: The Perfect Hedge  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie-
Very interested to know what your thoughts are on FILE,SEBL and INSS.TIA.GD



To: Earlie who wrote (25353)1/11/1998 9:35:00 AM
From: James R. Barrett  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie, let's assume that the S&P 500 takes a 30% dive in the next three months. The real question, for me anyway, is how long it will take for the market to recover to where it is today. I could very easily pick up the phone tomorrow morning and exchange all of my stock mutual funds into bond funds or money market funds. The problem is I will owe the IRS thousands of $ in taxes next year. If the market recovers by Nov. or Dec. I will be kicking myself in the ass for selling in Jan.
On the other hand if it takes 2 or 3 years for the market to recover I would be better off selling the stock mutual funds and put the cash into money market funds.
What to do? What to do? I hate these decisions.

Jim



To: Earlie who wrote (25353)1/11/1998 10:50:00 AM
From: geewiz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie,

Thanks for another excellent post, I remember you were shouting caution on AMAT months ago, it was well timed!

The liquidity crisis in Asia is becoming a solvency crisis. When the street realizes this it will change the perception on a speedy recovery! This is an exciting time to be aware of the economic dynamics; not another Mexico! Time an again I hear financial advisors on the tube make such an idle comparison. As Mike always reminded us "question experts"!

best, art



To: Earlie who wrote (25353)1/11/1998 8:26:00 PM
From: mike iles  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie,

Hope you're not living up to your name ... I remember back in October when the market crashed, ah finally a bit of reality. Actually, should have been out there with everybody else lining up to buy (!!!) stocks. Wow, it's hard to kill a good bull. So I hope you're right this time. A key driver will likely be money flows into and out (??? .. yes Virginia, it's called redemptions) of the mutual funds. Do you or anybody know where to get up-to-date info on this. Only recent data I've seen is Abelson's most recent column where he says net inflow is half of what it was last year.

regards, Mike



To: Earlie who wrote (25353)1/12/1998 8:11:00 PM
From: Thomas M.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
...any of the networking stocks that haven't already been thumped...

Even I'm smart enough to know which stock you're talking about here. -g-

Tom



To: Earlie who wrote (25353)1/12/1998 8:41:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Earlie,

How much of your analysis incorporates the looming problem with the Millenium "bug" and its impact on corporate earnings??

Also, do you feel comfortable with computer service providers of Y2K solutions as defensive plays long term??

Any thought as to the impact of Y2K on the largely unprepared and already hammered Asian Banks??

Regards,

Ron