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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1050498)1/25/2018 6:50:53 AM
From: Mongo2116  Respond to of 1578011
 
IQ?



To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1050498)1/25/2018 10:22:56 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Respond to of 1578011
 
How to FAKE a “Pause” in Global Warming
Posted on January 25, 2018 |

Climate deniers love to declare a “pause” in global warming. What they don’t seem to care for is finding out the truth about whether or not it’s real. When it becomes so obvious global warming hasn’t paused that claiming it’s still paused becomes untenable, they’ll declare that it did — for a while, at least — and that it has already begun another “pause” — with the same amount of real evidence as before. None, that is.

No problem! Just fake it. But how? All you fellas out there with deniers to impress, it’s easy to do, just follow these steps.

STEP 1: Make a graph of global temperature. How about data from NOAA, from 1950 through 2017? If making graphs isn’t your forte, don’t worry, there are plenty of websites that will do it for you. I made my own:



STEP 2: Cherry-pick a time range which you think will make a good “pause” picture. How about 1998 through 2013?



STEP 3: Draw a flat line:



… and that’s the way ya do it, yeah yeah yeah yeah.

Beware! If you draw a line estimated by least squares regression,



or some other method such as Theil-Sen regression



you might not get what you want.

And whatever you do, if you include statistical analysis make sure it’s not validanalysis. If you do that, you might find out the truth, and you don’t want that. But do be careful, if somebody comes along to “check your work” you might end up embarrassed because you got it wrong. Maybe even twice.

Who would do this? How about Larry Kummer? He made an even better graph than I did:



You can find it in a post on the WUWT blog, but apparently it comes from the “ Fabius Maximus” website. Perhaps we should christen it the “Fakius Maximus” website.

tamino.wordpress.com



To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1050498)1/25/2018 4:09:19 PM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 1578011
 
OK, you DO think Pres. Spanky sided with Putin because of a shared animosity to Obama.



To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1050498)1/25/2018 4:12:47 PM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 1578011
 
As the walls cave in on him, Donald Trump has demented press conference meltdown
Bill Palmer
Updated: 7:21 pm EST Wed Jan 24, 2018 Home


Donald Trump is now in very real danger of losing his presidency, his marriage, and his freedom, as the walls continue to close in on him by the hour. So how’s he handling the mounting pressure and the worsening bad news? He held a press conference today. It’s far from clear what his original intention was, but the end result was that Trump had a rambling, off-topic, and at times demented meltdown.

Trump appeared to be trying to signal that he’s now willing to be interviewed by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. That’s not shocking, considering that his only two remaining options are to submit to the interview, or to destroy what little is left of his failing presidency by invoking the Fifth Amendment. But Trump took things even further, by needlessly and confusingly staking himself to being willing to testify under oath. Does he not understand that anyone who testifies to a federal agent is essentially under oath by default? Then Trump went truly off the rails.

Trump began ranting about a delusional phony conspiracy theory involving everyone from Hillary Clinton, to FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe, to two FBI agents who had an affair, to technical problems with Samsung smartphones. At various points he was angrily yelling at reporters, demanding that they answer the questions he was posing about Clinton. At another point he all but confessed to committing felony obstruction of justice by admitting that he tried to “fight back” against the ongoing investigation into his Russia scandal.

Somewhere in there, Donald Trump flip flopped on immigration yet again, this time endorsing the Democratic Party’s plan to create a path to citizenship for DACA recipients. The Republican Party recently had to cave to the Democrats on CHIP just to briefly get the government open again, and now Trump is caving on DACA as well.

palmerreport.com



To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1050498)1/25/2018 4:14:09 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1578011
 
How many times will President Dumbty flip flop on amnesty? If you count the campaign flips, he must be up to a couple dozen flops by now.