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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: elmatador who wrote (138860)2/2/2018 5:37:40 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217619
 
free-lunch protocol: now that i have reduced equity exposure by half (taking off the trade that was hk shares, leaving on the table the wager that is short-fnv-put-strike-75 and long silver), i added a few dollops of paper gold to the at-risk

i figure it is better to have easier hedge-able gold and silver over the long workation that should be chinese new years than it is to leave hindquarter exposed on the hk share market

i made appointment w/ the bank to pick up newly-printed-and-still-warm paper money on the 9th, in time to stuff red coloured envelops, and to distribute soonest after return from chinese new year workation

re <<"mainland Chinese are withdrawing hundreds of thousands of dollars using up to 50 cards at a time.">>

... what a load of [choose adjective and noun] ... 50 cards entail 50 bank accounts, w/ only so many banks, with each card enabling withdraw of hkd 20,000, totalling hkd 1M - a bit of baggage, and for what conceivable purpose ?

possibilities -

- real estate downpayment? none starter

- carrying to anywhere? highly unlikely. bank transfers work at few clicks of the mouse button.

- buy stuff? possible, but why cash?

- gold bars and coins? really the only possible explanation, and even for gold, if in such amounts, require bank xfer, not cash

so, your fret w/r to hk atm withdraw is wasteful of time

(i) hk banking system is fabulous for xfer funds anywhere 24/6, so anyone wanting to move money can easily do so w/o resorting to atm cash withdraws

(ii) hk cash is fairly useless outside of hk, and can only really be swapped for other sorts of cash in some but not conveniently enough places around the world outside of se asia / china

(iii) large cash transactions at the receiving banks (europe, n.america, australia, japan) are frowned on, especially if in the lesser currencies such as hkd

(iv) so, if there are large atm withdraws, the money would be used for localised hk spending, and hardly anything else

(v) otherwise brought physically to wherever and swapped for whatever paper money or physical properties, then again, why bother such way

the truth that you even draw attention to a non-topic shows that you clue-in to all sorts of distractions meaning nothing at all.

on, and yes, large cash withdraws happen around chinese new year times, for giving 'red packet' lai see en.wikipedia.org money as thank you for folks who served us, and for unmarried kids as free-lunch scmp.com

... and, oh, btw, ~400B cash circulates in hk, and if 20B go in and out of atm per month, so what?

since i know you are not mathematical, do not appreciate history, and unlikely to doing research, i understand why your fretted over hk atm withdraws

scmp.com

Hong Kong’s Lunar New Year lai see tradition is big business with 400 million more banknotes in circulationWhile the digital era has seen many people go online to manage their financial transactions, whenever Lunar New Year approaches more Hong Kong people visit bank branches for one simple reason – to exchange new banknotes for lai see packets – to the tune of as much as HK$8 billion a year.

Lydia Yip Siu-ming, head of the currency and settlement division in the financial infrastructure department of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, said the Lunar New Year would require about 300 million to 400 million more banknotes in circulation than usual to cope with increased business transactions and lai see distribution, which itself is valued at HK$8 billion.

About half are newly printed banknotes, which means the authority needed to print about 200 million banknotes for the Lunar New Year.

Currently there are 2 billion banknotes in circulation valued at HK$408 billion, up from HK$157 billion in 2006, with an annual growth rate of 10 per cent over the past 10 years, Yip said in an interview with the South China Morning Post.



“Even after many people are using credit cards or other electronic methods to make payments, there are still many businesses such as supermarkets and restaurants that need to use banknotes for transactions. Tourists prepare cash to spend while lai see money also contributes to the biggest demand for banknotes every year,” she said.

It is a Chinese tradition that married people need to give lai see packets with new banknotes, usually HK$20, to children or unmarried young people, as “lucky money”.

Most Chinese companies will also give their employees a HK$100 lai see packet on the first day back at work after the Lunar New Year.

Traditionally, bank customers ask for newly printed banknotes for their lai see packets. Banks usually let customers exchange old notes for new banknotes about two weeks ahead of the Lunar New Year.

Many banks open earlier and close later to allow customers to exchange banknotes.

The HKMA also dispatches its own staff to monitor bank branches to make sure the exchange is as smooth as possible, Yip said

She said many customers, especially the elderly, insist on newly printed banknotes for their lai see packets as they follow the tradition that everything has to be brand new.

“However, this is not very environmentally friendly as it takes a lot of cotton and energy to make new banknotes,” she said.

That’s why the HKMA in 2006 launched “ying-san notes”, or “good as new notes”, which are used notes but still in a good enough condition for lai see. Banks in Hong Kong use machines to determine if banknotes are clean and good enough to use as lucky money.

This year, among all banknotes available for lai see, there are about 50 per cent that are ying-san notes while the rest are newly printed. This compares with only 20 per cent of ying-san notes when the scheme first launched in 2006.

“On average, it takes about one tonne of cotton for every 1 million banknotes. With about 50 per cent of lai see banknotes as ying-san notes, we print 175 million fewer new notes, so this saves about 175 tonnes of cotton, as well as ink and energy used for the printing, plus transportation costs,” Yip said.

She said the number of banknotes in circulation are affected by the distribution of lai see money. Last year, banknotes in circulation peaked at almost HK$400 billion in February during the Lunar New Year, up from about HK$360 billion in January. However, the number went down to about HK$370 billion in March.

“Every year it repeats the same cycle – parents or grandparents exchange banknotes at the banks to prepare lai see for the children. When the children use the lai see to buy toys, the shops deposit the banknotes in the bank and the money circulates back into the banking system,” she said.



On average, the larger the denomination of the lai see, such as HK$1,000 or HK$500 banknotes, the faster it returns to the banking system, meaning they remain in good condition longer and can be used for two to three years before needing to be destroyed and replaced by new notes.

The HK$100 and HK$20 banknotes, the most commonly seen denominations used for lai see, are usually circulated more frequently in retail transactions before being deposited in banks, so they usually only last 18 months on average before needing replacement.

Both the Bank of East Asia and Hang Seng Bank said customers prefer newly printed banknotes for lai see money, but would accept ying-san notes if they cannot get newly printed ones. A Hang Seng Bank spokesman said the HK$20 and HK$100 banknotes were the most popular while a Bank of East Asia spokesman said HK$50 banknotes were the most popular among its customers.



To: elmatador who wrote (138860)2/2/2018 2:26:20 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217619
 
free-lunch protocol:

given that

(i) i re-upped on paper gold here in hk, and that fnv along w/ gold is temporarily dipping (always temporary, because gold, the underlying asset is eternal),

(ii) i closed 80% of my short fnv position at 2.75 per share, giving back ~100% of the premium i earlier pocketed, and

(iii) leaving on table 20% short fnv exposure, because i can do w/ fnv, albeit not in wallop size, so that i may short covered calls later, and

(iv) i intend to watch and brief on fnv so that i may re-short its free-lunch puts at lower level to re-claim what should be mine

(v) also eyeing royal gold (rr) as well as wheaton precious metal (wpm)

generally to welcome inflation.



To: elmatador who wrote (138860)2/2/2018 6:12:13 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217619
 
getting very excited, as would a hunter in anticipation of a head-shot

the thing about market 'corrections' is that they rarely happen at a convenient time

the thing about sentiment is that it be mercurial, for when the market is going up, all sorts of reasons poured forth to justify why it is still cheap, and whenever the indices tank, much shouting w/r to why indices should keep dropping

wonderful game, irrespective of whether anyone thinks whether the game be the real economy or not

there is always much satisfaction for side-stepping another bullet

however, according to martin armstrong, the correction may not follow through in the coming week because we did not close this night below 24741.

btw, am still chortling about your cited 50 bank cards meme, thank you for that

bloomberg.com

Dow Plunges 666 Points as Rate Angst Sinks Bonds: Markets Wrap
More stories by Jeremy Herron
February 3, 2018, 5:57 AM GMT+8



10-year yield tops 2.83%, dollar erases losses for week

S&P 500 down 3.9 percent in week, most since early 2016

U.S. Adds 200,000 Jobs in Jan., Jobless Rate Holds at 4.1%

U.S. Adds 200,000 Jobs in Jan., Jobless Rate Holds at 4.1%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 666 points in the biggest plunge since June 2016, as the worsening bond rout stirred angst that the Federal Reserve will accelerate its rate-hike schedule.

Solid jobs data that underscored the strength of the economy sent bond bulls scurrying and rattled equity investors who haven’t seen a week this bad in two years. The tandem selling accelerated after Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan suggested officials may need to hike more than three times this year to cool the advance. The 10-year Treasury yield popped above 2.85 percent for the first time since January 2014.

“Yields have risen, inflation evidence is rising rather broadly. It’s that combo of factors that’s starting to mount,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold Weeden, said by phone. “And then you get a report, and that’s the straw that breaks the camel’s back, and that’s kind of what we got into today.”



Dwyer: A Correction Feels Healthy Until You Get One

Tony Dwyer, chief equity strategist at Canaccord Genuity, discusses the market selloff on "Bloomberg Markets."

Source: Bloomberg)
There was nowhere to hide on the stock market, with all 11 S&P 500 sectors lower. The index’s five-day rout reached 3.9 percent -- marking its first pullback of at least that much in a record 404 days. Energy shares sank 4.1 percent as earnings disappointed and crude slumped. The tech selloff worsened, sending the Nasdaq 100 Index lower by 2.1 percent. Its weekly rout hit 3.7 percent, most since February 2006. Not even a record rally at Amazon.com Inc. could rescue the measure, as the world’s biggest company, Apple Inc. hit its lowest since October.

“People are finally starting to reprice reflation, it’s about time,” Jeanne Asseraf-Bitton, head of global cross-asset research at Lyxor Asset Management, said by phone. “Global economic growth is strong and corporate earnings are very solid, so there’s no reason to question the equity bull market. The rise in bond yields is good, it’s just the speed at which it’s happening that is making investors nervous. Bottom line: this is a healthy correction.”



U.S. hiring picked up in January and wages rose at the fastest annual pace since the recession ended, as the economy’s steady move toward full employment extended into 2018. Equities are being tested by the surge in bond yields, with some fund managers saying 3 percent U.S. 10-year rates would signal a bond bear market. The level is seen by many stock-watchers as a potential trigger for a correction in equities.

In Europe, a bond selloff deepened across the continent, and equities dropped for a fifth straight day, the longest streak since November. Disappointing results from companies including Deutsche Bank AG and BT Group Plc. paced losses, with Germany’s DAX giving up the year’s gains, capping the worst weekly decline since 2016. Bund yields reached a fresh two-year high, while the euro and British pound weakened. Japanese debt gained and the yen declined after the Bank of Japan intervened to stem the rise in rates.

Terminal users can read more in our markets blog.

These are the main moves in markets:




To: elmatador who wrote (138860)2/4/2018 1:03:15 AM
From: Elroy Jetson  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217619
 
Sprint announces they will install a 5G network in 2019 in their too-high 2.5 GHz spectrum by installing an impossibly large number of small cell sites on the telephone poles of their "cable network partners" . . . Good luck with that.

Sprint eyes mobile 5G network launch for first half of 2019 - zdnet.com

Sprint plans to launch its mobile 5G network in the first half of 2019, the carrier revealed Friday on its quarterly earnings conference call with investors. It could make the fourth largest carrier in the US the first to launch a nationwide mobile 5G network.

5G may be the future of mobile: But a couple of things have to happen first

There's been no shortage of hype about 5G from experts at this week's Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, along with a sober assessment of how far off it really is. - Read More

Sprint said its "strong" spectrum assets (Sarah Huckabee Sander seems to be freelancing for Sprint now) will allow it to buildout a network that will differentiate itself from the competition. Sprint will use its 2.5 GHz spectrum frequency airwaves, and deploy 40,000 outdoor small cell solutions, 15,000 strand mounted small cells through the company's partnerships with cable companies, and one million Sprint "Magic Boxes," to cell towers.

"We're working with Qualcomm and network and device manufacturers in order to launch the first truly mobile [5G] network in the United States by the first half of 2019," Sprint CEO Marcelo Claure said. "This development will put Sprint at the forefront of technology innovation on par with other leading carriers around the world...We believe our next-gen network will truly differentiate Sprint over the next couple of years."

Claure said 5G could give Sprint opportunity to raise prices on its unlimited data plan, (compare that to $30 for unlimited everything on T-Mobile) because customers will want to pay more for faster speeds. Sprint currently charges $50 to $60 per month for unlimited pricing, and Claure hinted pricing could rise to competitors' levels in the $70 to $80 range.

AT&T and Verizon plan to launch 5G service in some cities in the US this year. However, the 5G service will first be offered as fixed in-place wireless, rather than through cell towers. T-Mobile, the third-largest carrier Sprint tried to merge with last year, will start its 5G network roll-out in 2019.

5G promises customers faster connection than 4G with low-latency speed up to 1 GB/s. Faster connections are likely to enable a host of business applications and smarter Internet of things deployments.

Sprint also reported better than expected Q3 financials Friday. The Overland Park, Kansas-based company reported net income of $7.2 billion, or $1.79 per share, compared to a loss of $479 million, or 12 cents per share, the year prior. Sprint said its net income included $7.1 billion of non-cash benefit from tax reform.

Sprint posted net operating revenue of $8.24 billion, down 3.6 percent from the previous year.

Sprint said total wireless net additions were 385,000 for the quarter, compared to 564,000 a year ago.