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To: Investor Clouseau who wrote (5509)

2/7/2018 4:35:50 PM

From: The Ox

1 Recommendation

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Respond to of 8288

I would think we should wait until a new low is hit, one that is below the previous tracking low from the last time it was on reversal watch. Here's my current view and I welcome anyone's input on this, so feel free to add your 2 cents worth:

AKS has not made a new low below 4, which is still tracking in the 2017 portfolio at the bottom of this page. I hesitate to add a new entry for this same stock, mostly because it means I have to continuously watch and update each new low until it bounces back up 20% <g>.

If it breaks down below 4, then we have a new situation that probably deserves to be monitored for each new low it reaches. As we can see, it's up 15% since it last reached $4, even though it's fallen from the most recent high of $6.80 reached in mid-January.

Portfolio "Removed from Reversal Watch", Manager: The Ox

Symbol	Src	Price	Chg	Chg %	Shares	Share Cost	Low	High	Mkt Value	Val Chg	Basis	Gain	Gain %	Trade Date
ESV					1	4.210					$4.21			01 Sep 2017
ACET	TWD	7.405	-0.325	-4.4 %	1	8.290	7.405	7.545	$7.41	($0.33)	$8.29	($0.88)	-10.7 %	03 Nov 2017
ACET	TWD	7.405	-0.325	-4.4 %	1	13.50	7.405	7.545	$7.41	($0.33)	$13.50	($6.10)	-45.1 %	10 May 2017
AKAM	TWD	91.92	0.12	0.1 %	1	44.65	91.46	92.84	$91.92	$0.12	$44.65	$47.27	105.9 %	21 Aug 2017
AKS	AV	1.550	0.000	0.0 %	1	4.000	1.550	1.550	$1.55		$4.00	($2.45)	-61.3 %	15 Nov 2017
AMRS	AV	0.0500	0.0500	100.0 %	1	2.270	0.0500	0.0600	$0.05	$0.05	$2.27	($2.22)	-97.8 %	29 Aug 2017
APC	AV	72.77	0.56	0.8 %	1	39.96	72.12	72.95	$72.77	$0.56	$39.96	$32.81	82.1 %	29 Aug 2017
ASTE	TWD	54.63	1.70	3.1 %	1	45.70	53.81	54.63	$54.63	$1.70	$45.70	$8.93	19.5 %	18 Aug 2017
AZO	TWD	3,721	50	1.3 %	1	491.13	3,693	3,783	$3,721.05	$49.91	$491.13	$3,229.92	657.7 %	20 Jul 2017
BBBY	TWD	5.625	-0.355	-6.3 %	1	19.10	5.545	5.940	$5.63	($0.36)	$19.10	($13.48)	-70.5 %	08 Nov 2017
CVG	AV	24.41	0.00	0.0 %	1	20.15	24.41	24.41	$24.41		$20.15	$4.26	21.1 %	27 Mar 2017
DB	TWD	37.89	-1.96	-5.2 %	1	16.00	37.59	37.90	$37.89	($1.96)	$16.00	$21.89	136.8 %	08 Sep 2017
FLR	TWD	45.64	-0.75	-1.6 %	1	37.04	44.51	46.48	$45.64	($0.75)	$37.04	$8.60	23.2 %	21 Aug 2017
FNSR	AV	23.77	0.00	0.0 %	1	17.20	23.77	23.77	$23.77		$17.20	$6.57	38.2 %	06 Dec 2017
FNSR	AV	23.77	0.00	0.0 %	1	22.51	23.77	23.77	$23.77		$22.51	$1.26	5.6 %	18 May 2017
FSLR	TWD	238.08	-0.85	-0.4 %	1	25.56	232.87	242.50	$238.08	($0.85)	$25.56	$212.52	831.5 %	05 Apr 2017
GILD	TWD	146.24	2.98	2.0 %	1	63.76	144.71	146.47	$146.24	$2.98	$63.76	$82.48	129.4 %	16 Jun 2017
GRA	AV	69.99	0.00	0.0 %	1	63.37	69.99	69.99	$69.99		$63.37	$6.62	10.4 %	02 Dec 2016
GWW	TWD	1,195	40	3.3 %	1	155.00	1,177	1,201	$1,194.51	$39.84	$155.00	$1,039.51	670.7 %	28 Aug 2017
INFN	AV	6.640	0.000	0.0 %	1	9.090	6.640	6.640	$6.64		$9.09	($2.45)	-27.0 %	19 May 2017
LC	TWD	16.02	-0.07	-0.4 %	1	3.400	15.81	16.03	$16.02	($0.07)	$3.40	$12.62	371.2 %	11 Dec 2017
LKQ	TWD	34.36	1.36	3.9 %	1	27.89	34.01	34.41	$34.36	$1.36	$27.89	$6.47	23.2 %	17 Apr 2017
LXU	TWD	9.845	0.440	4.5 %	1	5.550	9.560	9.850	$9.85	$0.44	$5.55	$4.30	77.4 %	25 Aug 2017
RIG	TWD	5.345	0.365	6.8 %	1	7.200	5.190	5.350	$5.35	$0.36	$7.20	($1.86)	-25.8 %	25 Aug 2017
SNCR	TWD	8.840	-0.010	-0.1 %	1	11.15	8.810	8.860	$8.84	($0.01)	$11.15	($2.31)	-20.7 %	27 Apr 2017
SYNA	TWD	87.70	4.53	5.2 %	1	33.73	87.35	88.93	$87.70	$4.53	$33.73	$53.97	160.0 %	03 Nov 2017
TEVA	TWD	34.95	-1.29	-3.7 %	1	15.22	34.92	36.04	$34.95	($1.29)	$15.22	$19.73	129.6 %	06 Sep 2017
TGI	AV	26.01	0.16	0.6 %	1	19.80	25.83	26.03	$26.01	$0.16	$19.80	$6.21	31.4 %	15 May 2017
TGT	TWD	114.13	2.83	2.5 %	1	48.56	113.10	114.30	$114.13	$2.83	$48.56	$65.57	135.0 %	16 Jun 2017
UFPI	TWD	113.34	5.45	4.8 %	3	25.93	111.59	114.07	$340.02	$16.35	$77.80	$262.22	337.0 %	18 Aug 2017
VECO	TWD	29.55	-0.54	-1.8 %	1	18.30	29.45	30.24	$29.55	($0.54)	$18.30	$11.25	61.5 %	21 Aug 2017
VSAT	TWD	39.66	-4.36	-11.0 %	1	58.62	38.79	40.69	$39.66	($4.36)	$58.62	($18.96)	-32.3 %	18 Aug 2017
WAIR	AV	11.04	0.00	0.0 %	1	7.460	11.04	11.04	$11.04		$7.46	$3.58	48.0 %	10 May 2017
Total									$6,530.84	$110.34	$1,437.17	$5,097.85	354.7 %