To: Brent D. Beal who wrote (6805 ) 1/13/1998 12:07:00 PM From: Sam Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13594
I've seen several acticles, one in BusinessWeek, one in trade magazine, can't remember which one, and one in Forbes--I also watched a little blip than CNBC did on cable modems a while back. From these sources, granted they don't make me an expert, it looks like at many as 10 million cable modems could be deployed this year... to me that constitutes a significant roll out. Translation, at least 10 million of the most savvy customers, the cumstomers most likely to make purchases over the internet, will not be using AOL. . . As many as 10 million? Who is going to provide the access to 10 million homes? Myself, I would love a cable modem. Unfortunatley, no cable company has thought to give access. As far as the 10 million tech savvy customers signing on with cable, that remains to be seen. Also, the tech savvy customers are not AOL's target audience to begin with.A don't understand your point about the other ISPs--everything I've seen shows that many have higher growth numbers that AOL. I know this is the case for AT&T and I'll bet MSN at least doubles this year. It seems like you're invested in AOL so why don't you look these number up, it might be educational. In fact, I'd be interested in tracking the subscriber numbers for, say, AT&T, MSN, Earthlink, and anything MCI and Yahoo put together against AOL's numbers this year. I'll bet almost everyone posts better subscriber growth numbers, better churn numbers, etc. that AOL. . . Like I said before, if there was a significant increase in member growth for MSN, AT&T, etc it would be news. No news. If I recall, there was a study posted on this thread months ago. It detailed the subsciber growth...AOL led the way I believe. Regardless, any ISP will have to play catch up in a very big way. Anyway, your entitled to your opinion. Back to lunch for me... S.