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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stsimon who wrote (140503)4/7/2018 2:01:59 PM
From: Elroy Jetson1 Recommendation

Recommended By
stsimon

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217862
 
That's the funny bit, not even Trump knows what Trump is going to do.

Having walked himself into this trade war, I know what I'd do or any smart negotiator would do, to end up with a big win after perhaps six horrible months - but who knows if Trump will listen to those people or accidentally do what needs to done himself.

Obama was able to achieve huge progress in getting what America needed from China, but only because he was perfectly fine with China's leaders hating on him and constantly trying to snub him in the aftermath.

Obama was terrific captain because he clearly understood that he was President for 8 years at most - and then his personal relationship with the Chinese leadership would not be even slightly relevant to his life or the life of his family. Chinese leaders don't have this freedom due to the very weak rule of law in China currently. It's even worse in gangster-land for a guy like Putin.

Unfortunately Trump has this sick need to be liked, so he's susceptible to flattery. He'll be successful if he can overcome this weakness because even US business leaders are going to be hating on him during this process, let alone China's leaders.

If Trump is as weak as he usually is, he'll simply call a loss a great victory and move on to a new way of attracting attention.



To: stsimon who wrote (140503)4/7/2018 6:12:05 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217862
 
The markets are certainly hoping and by current pricing levels counting on the view you expressed to turn out correct. What ever I see might be coming is certainly not priced-in.

As Trump pointed out, market is up a lot since start of his reign, and to expect a little give-back for long term gain.

As we noted, Gold is unperturbed.

It is always dangerous to second-guess the market.

In the meantime there is much that can propel the market upward.

We are at an interesting juncture where politicians and geo-Strategic players may be looking to the financial market for either guidance or validations. A volatile and therefore dangerous protocol since markets move for all sorts of reasons.

Better than television.