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Politics : The Trump Presidency -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: neolib who wrote (68017)	4/23/2018 12:15:30 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 361664

Help me out here, you are seriously claiming I should pay more attention to the two little blue lines I've added to the graph, rather than the red lines? I'm saying 1 - You should pay attention to the whole data set, the initial lines you drew, and the little blue lines at the end. 2 - I'm saying both the blue lines and the red lines are fluctuations more than trends. That's particularly true on the revenue side. A - You don't start your trend lines at the same time. For spending you start it now for revenue you start it after an expected drop B - There is a drop on the end of the trend for revenue, while there is an increase at the end of the trend for spending. Its not just that you aren't focusing on the blue lines but you aren't even drawing your end points to the end of the blue lines. 3 - The little blue lines more accurately reflect the future then the red lines. If there wasn't any other data available I would pay less attention to them then the red lines, but the problem with future increases in entitlement spending already baked in to current law is well known. Data outside of the data set going to the past, and projections going past the graph show a much more pronounced trend then the graph itself does. 4 - I'm saying that even if revenue was going to have an increasing trend that it would only make the case that the problem is spending even stronger (unless revenue was going to increase enough to make the problem go away which it isn't.