SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : The Trump Presidency -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: neolib who wrote (68093)4/23/2018 4:39:16 PM
From: TimF  Respond to of 363207
 
The decline at the start would be do to things in the past, not the changes currently enacted.

The decline in revenue at the start probably has a lot to do with recently enacted policies. Tax cuts can cause revenue to decline rather quickly except to the extent that their focused on specific areas were things won't happen that way (say a capital gains tax cut which causes people to realize capital gains temporarily increasing revenue)

In general both the movements upwards and downwards in both spending and revenue are affected by current, recently, further back, and very old policy changes.

Try drawing lines over either the whole dataset (including future projections) or over just the future projections (preferably both) and the lines would look rather different than what you drew. But even your cherry picked points show spending growing slightly faster than revenue, and more to the point they show that spending goes up outside the normal range, while revenue doesn't decline out of it, pointing to extra spending as being the problem.