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Politics : The Trump Presidency -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lane3 who wrote (69729)5/3/2018 6:47:51 PM
From: neolib  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 356414
 
Can you conceive of a system (like SS happens to be close to) where current benefits paid out are 100% from current payroll taxes collected, and yet the benefits paid out are rigidly based on what the beneficiary paid in over time with a predefined effective investment income?

The claim that current payments are based on current withholding and that benefits are based on what you paid in are not in the least bit contradictory. Perhaps that is what you are not thinking could be the case??

The only hazard with such a system is correctly projecting interest rates and population dynamics, assuming you want to keep the benefits formula and the withholding formula constant over time. If you are willing to adjust one or both, it can work without great projections of either interest rates or population dynamics. SS is a bit in between it tries to project population dynamics and inflation, but both the benefits and the withholding have changed over time. Which can nicely produce a system where current payments = current income, and yet your benefits are 100% defined by what you paid in per some formula.