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Biotech / Medical : Immunomedics (IMMU) - moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: erickerickson who wrote (46022)5/9/2018 11:57:58 AM
From: plhky3465  Respond to of 63283
 
thx. i forgot about todays Conf call



To: erickerickson who wrote (46022)5/9/2018 3:20:34 PM
From: Fitzhughlaw13 Recommendations

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  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 63283
 
"PPS catalyst the day it's announced? Not really. Perhaps increasing 60+ days later... ."

Strongly disagree, and don't assess that it's "baked in" now. On February 7, the PPS closed at $16.52, and on the 8th, the company announced that the filing would be pushed back to May; the stock closed at $15.11 and drifted down to as low as $14.06 on the 9th. Even at its current price it is 15% to 25% below the covering analysts' price targets. Even with what we and others anticipate to be some compelling data at ASCO, the street wants to see the ball advanced on commercialization efforts, and that's the filing of the BLA.

Don't get me wrong - I'm glad to think that some more data might continue to be a harbinger for the dreaded "p word" [potential], but at this point, once the BLA is filed, it's a signal of execution on bringing a product to market. Right now, the company's valuation has been premised on its having competent management, but the next catalyst will have to be a demonstration that they can execute on the commercialization front. I believe that given the short position, the filing of the BLA alone is good for $3.50 to $4 per share over the next two trading days, and again that would get us merely to the analysts' price targets, which are notoriously conservative given that group's typical modus operandi. MAF