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Politics : The Trump Presidency -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: combjelly who wrote (71370)5/13/2018 4:35:56 PM
From: i-node  Respond to of 365178
 
>> In other words, you are lying through your teeth.

It isn't lying. It is just not being stupid. Iran has no history of good behavior. I don't know what kind of idiot it takes to just accept these promises as though they're meaningful. It is the same idiotic behavior that Clinton used to give NK nuclear weapons. Only a slight variation.

Suppose everything I said was 100% false. The conclusion of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School summarizes it well.

ConclusionIf Iran complies, the JCPOA buys at least 10 to 15 years before Tehran can significantly expand its nuclear capabilities. If Iran cheats during this period, JCPOA monitoring and national intelligence are likely to detect major violations, which would enhance U.S. and international options to intensify sanctions and take military action if necessary. If the agreement survives after 15 years, Iran will be able to expand its nuclear program to create more practical overt and covert nuclear weapons options. There are different views on whether the JCPOA will create conditions that help to reduce Iran’s incentives to pursue nuclear weapons in the long term. Ultimately, the decision to support or oppose the existing agreement boils down to assessing relative risks—accepting the current agreement (with its known strengths and weaknesses) or taking the chance that a better agreement can be achieved down the road. That choice will have profound implications for U.S. foreign policy, the politics of the Middle East and relations among the major powers, international economics, and the global effort to stem the spread of nuclear weapons.