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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (13161)1/14/1998 8:16:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill; Re >if this advance were going to get a head of steam, as you say, I would think GE would be more positive than indecision! <<
No I said it could get up some steam, not that it would.
Like GE I have a lot of indecision, but there are some positive
signs for the short term. The breadth of the rally in foreign
markets will lilkely spill over. I'm a contrarian by nature,
and for sure see the market over valued, but over value don't
stop it from going up. Had I been short I would have covered
Monday afternoon, and waited for a new entry point.
Now I'm not a gold silver buff , I like copper better, it's a long
play, but with dividends and all I still like AR and PCU and don't
think they will get much cheaper. I was in Korea on the cheap
and got scared and came out ( a mistake ) , The Malaysa WEB, looks
like it's found bottom EWM , lots of volume yesterday.
I've personally worked with Koreans, and some Japanese, I didn't
enjoy it, but they are tough. You can bet Japan has something up
it's sleeve too. They don't care about the price of their stocks,
so much as we do they are into grabing market share, and I bet
very few outsiders have any idea of how strong they really are.
My last visit to South America, I saw more Japanese than I did
Americans, they tended to keep a low profile but have "work camps"
all over the place. Not to mention they own more of our tresuries
than I care to think about. This don't look good for us down the
road, but it's just lurking for the time being, and may not come
home to us for a while. Oil has been our trump card, but they are
working on that to and have a presence in the Middle east that's
also getting stronger.
-------------------------
Market should gap up on the open, I'm not sure it will follow through
but there is a fair chance it will.
Jim
BTW I notice in doing my DOW. That very often the INDEX does not
reflect the GAP up or down in the issues. I saw were the issues
GAP ed down as much as 14pts last week on the open ( total ) yet
the Index opened were it closed, and took some time to catch up.
People fixed on and watching the DJI bug may not realise how far
it trails reality. CNBC may be getting it in real time now, but
The Dow indexes real time is not as real time as the issues in it,
and I can't help but believe that they have a built in a delay,
that goes out to the public.
Jim



To: William H Huebl who wrote (13161)1/14/1998 2:02:00 PM
From: Tom M  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill, what do you think of today's 1:30 kickoff? (kept it in mind since you mentioned it earlier) Looks like it started exactly on schedule, but so far has less conviction than usual. Do you have any more insight as to the potential duration/pattern of the programs?

thanks in advance,
as confused as anyone,

Tom