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To: The Perfect Hedge who wrote (8032)1/14/1998 1:34:00 PM
From: carl  Respond to of 95453
 
Glen - No, it's Henry, not Harry, from the NAXOF thread. I can't seem to cut and paste links lately or I'd put it out for you. Check out the last 4 or 5 company releases on YAHOO,too. It's worth your time. Here's another post.
To: Eric Tai (6937 )
From: Steve Skapik Thursday, Dec 11 1997 12:27AM EST
Reply # of 7040
To all,

I imagine that many are finding it hard to digest this recent piece of
news. I went and had a couple of cold ones and tried to figure out what
was missing. My conclusion was that we are missing a post (although I'm
sure there is one imminent) from Tom "Carl Billions and Billions Sagan"
Frederick. So let me make a first pass, just for fun, of the $
implications of what we have heard tonight:

Lets say 3 oz/ton Au and oh what the hell, 3 oz/ton PT
To make the math easy we'll stipulate that these PM's average $300 per
oz
Further lets go with just the 10,000 tpd plant that was mentioned
previously
Now because we're all so considerate we only expect the plant to operate
250 days per year
With the average cost of $100/ton

that suggests net profits of $4.25 billion per year

Now there will be some dilution so say 50 million shares outstanding so

Earnings before depreciation, interest, taxes, etc. of $85/ share

Well I guess we need add some appropriate multiple and there you have it
~$1000 per share

Wow, that was fun,

Steve