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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dwight E. Karlsen who wrote (13588)1/14/1998 11:29:00 PM
From: Seyda  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Dwight, Re: <<All CPQ 60 & 65 calls will expire worthless, IMO.>>

The following seems to support your opinion. Nevertheless, I hope the Friday's price turns out to be a pleasant surprise on the upside.

59.125....46058....1744645.....0.026
60.375....6243142..1148245.....5.437
65.06.....6289201...596400....10.545

column 1: cost per share for options

column 2: approximate total call open interest out of the money given the level in column 1 (as of today)

column 3: approximate total put open interest out of the money given the level in column 1 (as of today)

column 4: ratio of colum 1 to colum 2 (ratio of call-out-of-the-money to put-out-of- the-money)

Please take a look at the third column where we have the ratio of call-out-of-the-money to put-out-of-the-money at a given level of unit cost. From the third column, we can interpolate that out-of-the-money totals (for puts and calls) balances roughly around 59.50 $/share level (59.50 is the level for which the third column value roughly corresponds to 1). From this simple analysis, somewhere around 59.5 seems to be a probable level the sides would compromise in the tug of war at the expiry.

But again, what do i know...

Best regards
Seyda