SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kemble s. matter who wrote (27658)1/15/1998 7:00:00 AM
From: James L. Fleckenstein  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
Kemble and Ian, I profess no insight into market mechansims or dynamics. While very INTERESTED, I am still very early in my learning phase of markets. I am a physician and have been more interested in paying off debt over the last several years. I have some money in retirement funds in which I have no choice but to be long. With a brother AND a sister who are skeptical of "the mania" it has been difficult to rationalize being cocky about being long, after all, they SHOULD know more than me since I know more about medicine than they do. Still, in the rising market of the last few yearrs, I eventually had to act contrarian to the contrarians and made some money in the long market. I have traded quite a few stocks in the last 2 years and mostly long in Borland and a few small caps. I should say that my biggest profit was based on the ONLY suggestion Bill ever gave me and that was to buy puts on MU when it was peaking. Sadly I only bought 10 puts and made a 7-fold profit in 3 days. Bill bought 200 for his own account.

I have been learning TA because it is interesting to me and I have bet some hunches based on "the story" and TA. For example, I was playing the pre-earnings hype of big techs and then selling before the earnings came out to take the smaller but sure-thing profit, rather than having to be right about the actual numbers. That is much riskier now it seems. To me, if the compelling evidence is that a stock is going to go down, then I will buy a put. If the evidence is that it is going to go up, I buy a call. I swear no allegiance to a direction. I do read Bill's summary every day because it shows what is unadulterated bearishness. Mix that with the multitudes of bullish appraisals throughout the univers and a balanced view seems to emerge. Guess that's about all I have to say about that.