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Technology Stocks : Cabletron Systems (CS: NYSE) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: blankmind who wrote (2831)1/15/1998 6:14:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8358
 
Networking Stocks are Ready for
Round Two

The Motley Fool - January 15, 1998 13:25
COMS ASND BAY CS CSCO V%MFOOL P%TMF

January 15, 1998/FOOLWIRE/ -- Although hardly outstanding
performers over the last few weeks, the erstwhile stars of the momentum
universe known as "networking" companies have begun to recover from
December's Asia-inspired lows. An evenly weighted portfolio consisting
of 3Com (Nasdaq: COMS), Ascend Communications (Nasdaq: ASND), Bay
Networks (Nasdaq: BAY), Cabletron (NYSE: CS), and Cisco Systems (Nasdaq:
CSCO) has risen 11% since last Friday. Although most of this gain is a
recovery from panic selling late last week, the Investor's Business
Daily "Computer - Local Networks Industry" Group has risen to 72 out of
197industries versus sitting at 96 last Friday and 187 six months ago,
indicating that on a relative basis the shares are doing well. Brokerage
upgrades, strategic acquisitions, and positive guidance issued to
analysts are among the many factors explaining the surge.

Possibly the most salient bit of news is 3Com's decision to inform
analysts in a meeting late yesterday that its inventory woes would be
over by February. Chief Executive Eric Benhamou informed the assembled
"anointed" deigned to receive guidance from the second-largest data
networking company on the planet that the industry as a whole only grew
15% in 1997, but that he saw 20% growth in 1998. The only published
analyst report on the meeting came from Adams, Harkness & Hill, where
the conclusion was that reduced channel inventory and Asian pressures
would still severely constrain revenue growth prospects. Calling the
consensus estimates still "too optimistic," the shares were rated
"market perform." However, this first bit of positive news from the
company in more than six months still pushed its shares up $1 to $33
11/16 this morning.

On the acquisition front, both Bay Networks and Cabletron were out
yesterday making some interesting purchases to bolster their technology
portfolio. Bay will acquire New Oak Communications for its "virtual
private network" (VPN) technology, while Cabletron is buying the 75% of
Yago Systems it does not already own to get the company's "visionary"
Gigabit Ethernet and switch router technology. Investors appraised the
Bay purchase as a positive as it makes Bay the first networking
equipment provider to focus on VPNs, but were more skeptical of the
Cabletron's decision, indicating that the company would have been better
off buying upstart Ipsilon Systems except for the fact that Nokia (NYSE:
NOK/A) got to it first. Regardless, the fact that both companies are
making acquisitions was deemed a positive for the group as it showed
that management had overcome panic and was beginning to look forward
again. While it may be premature to think the worst is over for the
companies, these are the first really positive developments in weeks.

- by Randy Befumo