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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (21152)8/6/2018 10:28:24 AM
From: rogermci®2 Recommendations

Recommended By
McKia
sixty2nds

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
I don't find that a surprise at all and the key takeaway from his comments is "the current bull market could actually go for 2 or 3 more years" which would actually coincide with my take on the bull market running 5 years from 2016-2021 as it did from 1982-1987. Of course I date a secular bull from Feb 2016. Many don't agree with me on that point.

But bottom line is if 10 year goes to 5%, we're going to have an economy that is smoking hot. Smoking hot means higher stock prices. That's my take.



To: John Pitera who wrote (21152)8/6/2018 11:48:07 AM
From: humble11 Recommendation

Recommended By
sixty2nds

  Respond to of 33421
 
JP: That is definitely the big news of the day and, at the risk of being burned at the stake for heresy, I am suspicious. For one thing, bond SHORTS are at a record high. For another, Dimon upped his forecast from 4% to 5% and it sounds kind of frantic.

I SUSPECT that his trading desk is among those heavily short and he wants out. People like Dimon NEVER make a public statement for the benefit of the trading public. Note that the 10 year has barely budged since his dramatic 4% prediction.

The big surprise would be for the 10 year to drop to 2.5% or lower as the widely forecast inflation surge fades into history.