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Technology Stocks : THQ,Inc. (THQI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Marc Newman who wrote (3063)1/15/1998 12:29:00 PM
From: Bleeker  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 14266
 
Marc, it's Like Waiting for Godot. I'm also using the drop
on low volume to add today. Godot will show up in the days
ahead. My hedge fund source now says that the chances of more
upward earnings revisions for Q4 have increased markedly
given how well WCW continues to sell. The sales in Q4 have
apparently been much more wide spread than the fund expected.
There has been more than one, or two, or three successes in
the Q4 released games. The fund has been polling thqi game sales
beyond WCW.

While most of us on the thread expect thqi to meet the Wall
Street consensus estimate, the hedge fund manager I've cited
before is much more optimistic about the stock's short-term
prospects because of the four point retracement thqi has seen
from its recent high on zero news. His take is that a lot
of the mo-mos and retail have pulled out. There has been no
fund selling either in recent days: evidence of that is in
low volume. The selling and buying has been meaningless.

By the way, the fund manager's estimates are much lower than
Todd's but higher than the Street consensus. I don't want to
be more specific than that right now. He also feels that thqi
should rally not only to the run-up of Q4 earnings report--but
following the release of the report as well because there has
been a significant pull back already: in other words some of
the good news in the stock has been discounted out. I have
to agree with this analysis regardless of what Fibonacci says.

The wait time will get shorter as thqi gets closer to releasing
Q4 earnings. We saw what happened following Q3 earnings when
thqi beat estimates by three cents as my source predicted. Of
course, thqi's price/earnings ratio was lower then. The advantage
this time around is that the stock has pulled back more sharply
prior to the earnings anouncement. That means some investors may
be lowering their earnings expectations at a time when Wall Street
is raising its estimates: it's a good thing.

Godot will show up and the mo-mos should jump back in if the
overall market remains range bound. I will continue to use market
selloffs and days like this to add slowly. I have a feeling Wedbush
may be doing the same.

Apres moi, le deluge.

cheers,
Bleeker