Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (143468)	9/23/2018 11:22:31 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217764

Hello TJ, from my post on LinkedIn at linkedin.com About a month ago or more I posted that the US economy is facing a long-anticipated recession hashtag#anticipation At the time there was not sufficient economic data for confirmation. But the telltale signs where quite obvious mostly in the NYC real estate market. As I wrote: "Case -Shiller data show further easing in US home price growth a development which is eerily similar to the 2005/6 period. Real estate markets are not financial markets, the slowdown develops over time. It takes 1 to 2 years for investors to run for the exits and then to hit bottom". Since those remarks where posted, a topping process in the US economy ensued and is vividly described in this Bloomberg article lnkd.in related to the NYC real estate market. The inevitable recession was delayed by manipulating the world economy with the US imposing various tariffs under all kind of excuses on imported goods and by this raising US inflation which will work out its supply chain slowly to the consumer and forcing the FED hand in raising interest rates later this month. See also my comment to this post hashtag#realestate hashtag#economics hashtag#interestrates hashtag#financialmarkets hashtag#tops hashtag#bloomberg The decision of setting new tariffs on imported goods for one or another reason will only increase the inflation which will slowly work itself to the consumer level and force the hand of the FED for at least another rate hike, if not more. The lack of free markets will shield the non-competitive US manufacturers from outside efficient competitive manufacturing entities and hold for a while the full employment. The Us financial markets already "got wind" of the anticipated trouble the USD will slowly depreciate bring in the US economy in a vicious cycle of more inflation and economic stagnation ending in recession, whereby the middle class will be mostly hit in their pocketbook and their assets depreciating in value. One should remember that trees do not grow to the sky and "Financial History does not repeat itself but it always rhymes" for comparison even that I do not expect such a drastic downturn read my 13 old analysis at this link lnkd.in and also my old lectures to MBA students at slideshare.net

To: TobagoJack who wrote (143468)	9/23/2018 11:29:09 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Respond to of 217764

much more complicated than you write, and the finger pointing goes to the EU

To: TobagoJack who wrote (143468)	9/23/2018 1:44:19 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217764

Between the downing by Syria of the Russian airplane, and blaming Israel for it under false pretenses on one side and the Haifa idiotic debacle reminds me of the offer of Stalin to Eugene to joint Chiang Kai-shek faction in the KMT party and the offer of Stalin to Deng Yanda to head the Chinese communist party, and at the same time advertising in print that Eugene married Chingling in the Caucasus Mountains. What IMHO actually happen was that the Russians got fed up with Israel roaming freely over the Syrian skies bombing Iranian troops and installation, and by this weakening Russia presence in Syria, and a conscious decision was made to sacrifice 15 Russian servicemen and blame it on Israel reckless conduct. youtu.be This was also a clear sign of dissatisfaction whit the fact that a Chinese company will control the biggest Israeli port about 154 miles from the Russian port in Tartus in Syria which by the Russian and Chinese perception of distances of a stone throw away. There must be much more to the story which will do not know yet, and wonder for how long will the Russian close the international waters between Beirut Lebanon, Larnaka Cyprus, and Latakia Syria and the Turkish border. Interestingly there is mention of the French and British warships in the region who also fired some rockets toward Syria.