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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sea_biscuit who wrote (2823)	1/15/1998 8:19:00 PM
From: Boca_PETE	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 42834

Dipy: re< it is absolutely fair. After all, the name of the newsletter is Marketimer! > My understanding is that Marketimer is intended to be a long-term timing tool, not a short-term trading tool. There's no doubt that during the three months that preceded the 87 crash, Marketimer failed to alert subscribers to bail. But the market ended 1987 up 5%, hardly a crash 1929 style. Also, at that time. the newletter was new and I don't believe Brinker had fully developed the timing model he currently uses. Rankings will always depend upon the period chosen for measurement. At some point, one has to decide who, if anyone, they respect and follow or use as a guide. For me, that person is Brinker by a large margin. Since Marty Zweig predicted the 87 crash on Wall Street Week, perhaps it might be more profitable for you to follow his timing signals. I've heard Brinker call the major turns in the market since August 1982 when the DOW was 777. I heard him on local radio at 6AM on that famous Saturday in August 1982 when he told listeners to become fully invested . He sounded a lot like he did last weekend. He seems to be correct in his calls most of the time on a long term basis. While it's interesting to listen to different points of view and decide for yourself who makes the most sense, it gets too confusing if you follow multiple advisors. P

To: sea_biscuit who wrote (2823)	1/15/1998 8:46:00 PM
From: marc ultra	Respond to of 42834

It's ridiculous to start a comparison period at a high immediately before a brief market crash which was nothing like a bear market just because they don't have data going back to the last true bear market in 73-74. In recent years Timer's digest has rated Marketimer at or near the top. If you want to see how Marketimer does in a bear market then you'll have to wait and see, but if you print a study that picks the exact worse comparison period for Marketimer and admit it doesn't include a bear market and say well since we're not including a bear market we'll throw in this crash even though it may have no predictive value for a true bear market is bogus. As far as I've seen his market calls have been remarkable