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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (143992)10/20/2018 8:46:34 AM
From: TobagoJack5 Recommendations

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Maurice Winn
THE ANT

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218578
 
Planetary peace may be back-stopped

Would imagine everyone in EU understands that Russia would make any single or collection of states an example w/o blinking

If so, peace underwritten

zerohedge.com

Putin Lays Down The Law At Valdai Authored by Tom Luongo,

Every year Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the Valdai Economic Forum. And each year his talk is important. Putin isn’t one to mince words on important issues.

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With tensions between Russia and the West reaching Cold War levels, Valdai represented the first time we’ve heard Putin speak in a long-form discussion since Helsinki and the events thereafter — IL-20, Khashoggi, etc.

So, this talk is worth everyone’s time. And when I say everyone’s I mean every single person who could be affected by the breakdown of the U.S. political system and how that spills over onto Russia’s shores.

In other words, pretty much everyone on the planet.

Because what Putin did at Valdai was to lay down the new rules of conduct in geopolitical affairs. He put the U.S. and European oligarchs I call The Davos Crowd on notice.

There is a limit to your provocations and attempts to undermine Russia. So don’t cross that line.

Peace Through StrengthThe big quote from his talk is the one everyone is focusing on, and rightly so, Russia’s policy about using nuclear weapons.

It’s not that Putin’s stance was any different than in the past. Russia will strike back at an aggressor under any circumstance where the future of Russia is at stake. It was his assurance that in doing so 1) it would be just and righteous “dying like martyrs” and 2) so swift and brutal the aggressors would “die like dogs” bereft of the chance to ask for salvation.

Those are strong words. They are the words of a meek man. And the word meek, as Jordan Peterson reminds us, describes someone who has weapons, knows how to use them and keeps them sheathed until they have no other option.

The reaction from the audience (see video above) was nervous laughter, but I don’t think Putin was having one over on anyone.

He was serious. This is the very definition of meek.

It is really no different than the attitude of Secretary of State James Mattis who said, “I come in peace. I didn’t bring artillery. But I’m pleading with you, with tears in my eyes: If you f$*k with me, I’ll kill you all.”

Men like this are not to be tested too hard. And Putin’s response to the shooting down of the IL-20 plane and its crew was to cross a bunch of diplomatic lines by handing out S-300s to Syria and erecting a de facto no-fly zone over Western Syria and the Eastern Mediterranean.

Notice how there have been no attacks or even harsh language coming out of Israel or the U.S. in the past few weeks. The failure of the British/French/Israeli operation to sucker Trump into an invasion of Syria is now complete.

And I’m convinced that Nikki Haley paid the price.

All of this highlights the major theme that came out of Putin’s comments.

Strength through resolve. Resolve comes as a consequence of defending culture.

Putin wasn’t boasting or grandstanding about Russia’s hypersonic weapons capability. He told everyone they are deployed. He did this to shut up the U.S. neoconservative chattering class who he rightly says whisper in President Trump’s ear that they can win a nuclear conflict with Russia.

They are insane. And you have to treat them that way.

Culture FirstPutin sees himself, quite rightly, as the custodian of the Russian people and, as such, the Russian state as the reflection of Russian culture. If you are going to have a state and someone is going to be the head of it, this is the attitude that you want from that person.

In his dialogue with an Orthodox priest Putin wholeheartedly agreed with the idea that “the state cannot dictate culture” but rather, at best, be the facilitator of it through its applications of law.

In a back and forth with a very enthusiastic Russian dairy farmer, who was quite proud of his cheese, Putin reminded the man that while he loved sanctions (from European competition) protecting his business today he should not get used to them. They will be removed at some point and the farmer would have to stand on his own wits to survive in the international market.

Putin understands that subsidies breed sloth. That was a message he made loud and clear.

It’s why when the sanctions first went into effect in 2014 over the reunification of Crimea and during the Ruble crisis Putin shifted state subsidies away from the petroleum sector which had thrived and gotten soft during years of $100+/bbl oil and shifted that money to agriculture.

The fruits of that successful policy shift he confronted head on at Valdai. Russia’s food production across all sectors is flourishing thanks to a cheap ruble, which the U.S. keeps beating down via sanctions, and the Russian state getting out of the way of investment.

At the time he incurred the wrath of Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin and Putin ignored him, much to everyone’s surprise. The message was clear, we’ll help you out of your current troubles but it’s time to do business differently. Because it was Rosneft that needed the biggest bailouts in late 2014/early 2015 having tens of billions in dollar-denominated debt which couldn’t be rolled over thanks to the sanctions.

The Limits of EmpireUltimately, Putin looked resigned, if confused, to the insanity emanating from U.S. policy. But it’s obvious to him that Russia cannot get caught up in the tit-for-tat nuisances put up to derail Russia’s future.

He mentioned the Empire loses its way because it believed itself invulnerable or as my dad used to say about certain athletes, “He reads his own press clippings too much.”

There is a solipsism that infects dominant societies which creates the kind of over-reactions we’re witnessing today. Power is slipping away from the U.S. and Trump is both helping the process along while also trying to preserve the core of what’s left.

And no interaction during Putin’s talk was more indicative of his view of the U.S. empire than his interaction with a Japanese delegate who asked him about signing a peace treaty with Japan.

And Putin’s answer was clear. It’s Japan’s pride and political entanglements that preclude this from happening. Signing the peace treaty is not necessary to solving ownership of the Kuril Islands. Russia and Japan are both diminished by having this obstacle in the way.

The issue can resolve itself after the peace treaty is signed. The current state of things is silly and anachronistic and keep the divide between Russians and Japanese from healing. Create trust through agreement then move forward.

That’s what is happening between Russia and Egypt and that is why Putin is winning the diplomatic war.

And it’s why Trump is losing the diplomatic war. Putin knows where Trump is. He was there himself seventeen years ago, except an order of magnitude worse. The problems Trump is facing are the same problems Putin faced, corruption, venality, treason all contributing to a collapse in societal and cultural institutions.

Putin knows the U.S. is at a crossroads, and he’s made his peace with whatever comes next. The question is, have we?

* * *

Join my Patreon if you want to be prepared for what comes next.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (143992)10/20/2018 6:44:54 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218578
 
Re <<nothing left but its grin>>

Was wandering and now wondering, which of Stratfor’s watch & brief, if any, is worth following

Believe we know longer need to tag the Saudi MBS issue as believe enough believe they know what for why happened how, and the remaining is just ordained by necessity, back to business as usual. If MBS is a true reformer irrespective of whatever else may or not be true, in the big picture, then a hiccup albeit a big one.

If otherwise, then the dynasty eventually would be lost, and be dramatic.

Whichever the case, a show, of how reliable team USA (comprised of the various branches, deep root, and the estates) is a partner.

The rest of Stratfor’s watch & brief perhaps contain only one matter of importance, w/ the rest just decorations.

Re the unmentioned mid-term, am guessing short term nothing matters and long term consequential, only that at least half the electorates do not realise, perhaps bit less than half do not care, and maybe a sliver less than 0.01% cannot make any difference, and could be all have an opinion founded or otherwise.

Iow, it could well be that the mid-term shall only be early-warning on how dysfunctional rule-by-making-up-rules shall become, and then it would be approximately 50% against near-enough 49%, marking time to 2020 when trump wins again.

Such would not necessarily be a negative for the episode may prepare the world for whatever comes next, good or bad. Who can know? Maybe NYC real estate method can impel all manner of desired to come true. Let’s find out by experimentation, even as we do whatever needs doing to hedge downsides, substantial they can be.

I had inadvertently worked w/ trump-esque types and more and much more I recognise so. I believe such folks collect opportunists and aggregate enemies, as they plow through what they do. It is a process that is very interesting, just not for those plowed until and unless they make an absorbing game out of the experience. I suspect trump is better at the gaming than most, and should one better make appearance, true exigency does as well. The so-called Anti-trump cannot by definition be less controversial than the trump, except he / she be anti- and is not trump.

Enough electorates wished for Anti-Clinton, and they got what they wanted; admittedly the economy seems ok, and stock market net net is up. Maybe a coincidence but could be MAGA, time shall tell.