*AV* -- IMES --- This is a stock which has gotten a very low keyed presentation on this thread by myself. I have not been overly outspoken about IMES and have not tried to force feed it to the community. As a Semiconductor Manufacturing Process Engineer, my area of expertise, I follow a great deal of "what if scenarios" and follow emerging concepts. Such is the case with IMES. It also doesn't hurt to know the history of the CEO at IMES. Well, the time has come, another moment of truth. While the stock has yet to perform to the expectations of iour community over the past months, the following is why I was and still remain excited by this company.
I present the story, in its entirety, for your review and consideration. I can only ask each and every one of you to make a copy of it and forward to the person you most respect and believe to be best suited to give you an honest and comprehensive opinion of what the long term implications for this company and what it has to offer the industry. Only then can you comfortably make an informed decision. This stock is not about to run away today or tomorrow but it definitely has a future.
You are witnessing the emergence of something great or the start of a dramatic fizzle. I doubt very highly that this company will be mediocre. It will be something like the next INTC, DELL or MSFT or it will be a gigantic crap shoot failure like SPCL, BRE-X, VLNT but without the dishonesty that is associated with these symbols.
Unfortunately, a mad dash to this stock will create a massive manipulation of the price of this stock. So if you decide to get involved please make sure you do not get involved in an artifically high price because of some herd mentality or MM shenanigans.
This is what I have been waiting for and this is where I am going to make a stand. All my chickens are not in this basket but I am making a decision to trust 20+ years of personal experience that this company can and will deliver something the industry wants and will clamor for. It is a show of faith and confidence in my chosen profession and the willingness to back up that belief.
Please, no one should follow me into this stock blindly (I am already positioned for the most part) without feeling 100% comfortable. I am too biased to be trusted here on face value. You need to truly get supporting DD for sources you deem of the utmost reliability before going any further.
As a matter of fact, being too close to the subject and possibly blinded by my own DD, I not only welcome but encourage anyone to present as many opposing agruments as possible. I will not challenge any of them but rather try to integrate the salient points and views into my personal perspective.
Andrew
BTW-Just to be very very clear: I am not soliciting nor recommending this stock and I already have a position in this stock averaged somewhere around 40 cents, to the tune of 25,000 shares. I stand a great deal to gain if this stock is manipulated favorably. However, it is just a $10,000 investment in a company, which if successful, could trade to $40 for a 100X gain over the next 4-6 years. This is the risk capital on the table and the potential gain for all to see. While I very rarely average up, a strategy used by some savvy investors on this thread, I may make an exception in this case and go for more shares.
International Meta Systems, Inc. (IMES)
International Meta Systems, Inc. (IMS) is no newcomer to demanding design problems, having produced a series of advanced microprocessors over the last decade. Currently a 60-person company, IMS has previously designed processors for Apple Computer, Inc., including one that could emulate both the Motorola 68040 and Intel 486 instruction sets. The Company is now positioned to generate revenues. IMS has successfully completed an integral part of the chip design process including, a substantially improved cell library, fully adaptable to multiple design processes that is in high demand by the whole industry. IMS management is not aware of other products with the design enhancement features available with IMSLIB. This product allows electronics companies to take their chip designs, and therefore products, to market quicker, cheaper, and with better performance. IMS's product is particularly applicable to the fast growing System-on-a-Chip business.
The Problem: While developing the Meta 6000 (M6000) microprocessor, IMS found that its biggest problem revolved around cell libraries, a conglomerate of individual elements that are a fundamental part of chip design. The Company discovered that existing cell libraries weren't adequate to meet new design requirements, were hard to merge with the other chip technology, and contained outdated elements that tended to stall synthesis tools (circuit design aids), resulting in reduced production, cost overruns, and critical time-to-market delays. Many of these existing libraries contain elements designed years ago that don't convert well into new high-speed/high-density technologies (0.25 microns and less.) Rather than discard those older elements and start from scratch, developers worldwide have often chosen to salvage and adapt them, often causing chip designs to be twice the desired size and 2/3 to 1/2 the desired performance.
The Solution: IMS found that the majority of companies within the industry had the exact same problem. The Company therefore decided to start clean and design a totally new, high-density library, the IMSLIB, that easily merges with other technologies and can work effectively with the current design tools in the market. IMSLIB's cell composition and design characteristics were developed specifically for use in 0.25 micron and smaller technologies and with no dependence on earlier standard cell libraries or technologies. IMS's remarkable technical achievement represents a paradigm shift in thinking from current library designs. Each cell was carefully selected for maximum performance and placement within a dense layout. The resulting library is analogous in design to a brick wall with standard cell sizes and easy pathways for wire routing as opposed to the "rock wall" of other libraries with their cluster of different shapes, sizes and messy routing lines. The comparative ease in connecting these efficiently designed elements of IMSLIB translates into a customer's technology on a chip of smaller size, higher speed, and improved performance. And, this is achieved with less cost and a shorter time to market.
The Opportunity: What IMS has achieved can be likened to "striking oil." As the Company worked diligently on developing the M6000, a huge, unexpected opportunity presented itself. They found that the library they developed for the M6000 is not only a saleable product but has an enormous market potential. Initial market inquiries reveal a tremendous amount of interest from the industry. Previously an R&D-stage company, IMS is NOW in a position to receive significant revenues through sales of its IMSLIB and associated design services. In addition to the marketing that will be provided via strategic alliances, IMS has just formed its own marketing team to aggressively promote its intellectual property and services.
According to Scott Johnson of IMS "Design houses that are attempting to get into 0.25-micron technology don't have real good options. They can't get to the synthesis densities they want to achieve without a good library." Currently, the design teams of large companies have instead opted to sacrifice chip size and performance. There is now a better alternative: Yes, the IMS product is a radically new library, but what IMS is really selling is improved time-to-market, cost, power and performance for their customer's end-product chips. That has substantial value! In the highly competitive, rapidly changing world of electronic products, the market positions of many companies' products are greatly enhanced if they can get them to market 6 months quicker.
Other Benefits: Many libraries are specific to a fabrication plant (Fab) process. Therefore, most companies can't move their intellectual property between Fabs, restricting their ability to shop around for better pricing and delivery schedules. IMS has developed tools and techniques that allow IMSLIB to be easily ported to any customer's process, a unique selling point. Also of great interest is the ability to use IMSLIB to support the existing libraries at particular Fabs. Additionally, many companies will view IMSLIB as a valuable insurance policy. By shortening the development calendar, companies can have additional time to work on debugging their potential errors. IMSLIB therefore serves to reduce risk and helps to eliminate potential liability and returned products. This too is a unique selling point.
The Market: The emerging nature of the market presently makes size definitions hard to determine, but the overall silicon design industry is estimated to be about $120 billion per year. Annual sales of existing design libraries represent a multi-billion dollar industry. With this ever-expanding industry now being driven by synthesis tools, synthesis-based library sales should grow very rapidly. The typical customer for IMSLIB would be companies in the semi- custom market who are synthesis-oriented and who need a quick time-to-market. This semi-custom segment is projected to be a whopping 90% of the overall market by the year 2000.
The Initial Strategy: Due to IMSLIB's compatibility with synthesis tools, IMS is initially targeting tool vendors (Cadence, Avanti, Synopsis, Quickturn, Speedsim, and others) to offer IMSLIB in conjunction with their services. Again, initial interest is extremely positive. IMS has already entered into a cooperative agreement to provide Cadence Design Systems, the largest supplier of electronic design automation software, with design and consulting services related to the IMSLIB and design methodology.
System-on-a-Chip: The project with Cadence is focused on fast time-to-market for System-on-a-Chip (SOC) designs. Jim Tully, analyst for Dataquest in London, has labeled this technology "the future of semiconductors." Market forces are rapidly accelerating requirements for both OEMs and chip companies to move designs to SOC. "Sales of system-chips are set to erupt. Now they amount to only $4 billion, or 3% of the world market. By 2001, system chips could total $70 billion - triple the size of today's microprocessor market - and 26% of total chip sales." (Business Week/ December 15, 1997). SOCs are anticipated to be cheaper, more reliable and require less power than the present multiple chip systems. Naturally, they require a dense layout and effective merging of key elements. The IMSLIB library is well positioned to become the leading choice for new SOC designs.
Other Products/Services: In addition to the great potential of IMSLIB, the Company has designed and developed high performance custom macros (complete IMS designed circuits that work ideally with IMSLIB) for key functions. The x86, 0.25 micron, 6 million transistor, 300Mhz, fully windows compatible core that is in development is expected to be the core of future IMS SOC designs. IMS also offers a complete consulting and design service to support tailored use of IMS intellectual properties. The Company plans to continue to advance into new deep sub-micron technologies to develop the best products and services available anywhere.
Key Relationships: In addition to the cooperative arrangement with the industry's largest tool vendor, IMS is partnered with a major international semiconductor manufacturer with multiple foundries. This international company has been working jointly with IMS on the M6000 project.
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SPECIAL SITUATIONS By Lawrence C. Oakley
International Meta Systems, Inc.
? Turnaround - moving towards significant revenues ? Strong portfolio of intellectual property ? Leading technology for cell libraries (group of individual elements fundamental to chip design) ? Silicon design market is $120 billion ? Cell library market segment is large and growing rapidly ? IMES' "IMSLIB" cell library design has tremendous industry interest ? IMSLIB enables a company to take its chip designs to market quicker, cheaper, and with better performance ? Adaptable to multiple design processes; a new industry standard ? In partnership with SGS-Thomson Microelectronics (semiconductor manufacturer with 1996 sales of over $4 billion) ? Cooperative arrangement with Cadence Design Systems (largest supplier of software tools for silicon designs) ? Other products suitable to "System-on-a-Chip" business (expected to reach $70 billion by 2001) ? Should be on NASDAQ early 1998
Key Facts
Business: Products for Semi- conductor Industry Listed: OTC Bulletin Board Symbol: IMES Price (12/26/97 Last): 13/32 52-Week Range: 11/32 - 2-1/16 Shares Out: 38,925,941 Approx. Float: 18 million shares Effective Float: 10 million shares Market Cap: $17.3 million
Overview
IMES developed a cell library, an essential part of microprocessor design. It considers it the new industry standard. Instead of a revenue stream to be realized far in the future, IMES is in a position to generate revenues now. In fact, it already received $1 million from one company (largest design-tool software provider, expected to do $1 billion in sales next year) just for the non-exclusive right to market the IMES product in conjunction with its own products.
The Technology
As it was developing its highly-advanced processor, IMES realized that a key element of the design process, the cell library, wasn't up to the demands of the new high-density technology the company was working with (0.25 micron & smaller). Existing libraries contained outdated elements that snagged CAD software, causing frustration & delay. Another problem was that these libraries, for the most part, were custom to the individual fabrication plants and didn't allow customers to take their intellectual property to different manufacturers, severely limiting their options. IMES developed its IMSLIB - It is not only friendly to design-aid (synthesis) tools, but is fully adaptable to multiple processes; an exciting achievement within the industry.
According to IMES' Scott Johnson, "Design houses attempting to get into 0.25-micron technology don't have very good options. They can't get to the synthesis densities we can reach without a good library." What he means is that IMSLIB is the only good option for the new technology. Companies that don't end up using IMSLIB will have to settle for larger chips that perform slower (up to twice the size and half as fast). More important, they have to settle for a slower time to market as they deal with delays due to synthesis-tool problems, a harder merging of elements and wire routing, and many errors. Integrated Circuit Engineering Corp. estimates a product only three months late in a market that would last two years loses about 36 percent of its potential. Six months late and you may miss the whole window of opportunity. IMES offers its customers quicker time-to-market (more revenue opportunity), lower risk, smaller chip size, and better performance.
Market Strategy
Management believes that in addition to its obvious customers, the semiconductor industry's design-tool vendors, there are over 200 companies with multiple projects that could benefit from IMSLIB. An average contract with any of these companies could range from $300,000 to $1.5 million. The potential with tool vendors is substantial. All have shown great interest thus far and the relationship with Cadence should be particularly lucrative (Cadence has a sales force of over 1,200.)
Other Products
IMES offers consulting and design services to support tailored use of its intellectual properties. In addition to IMSLIB, it designed and developed high performance macros for key functions. The x86, 0.25 micron, 6-million transistor, 300Mhz, fully Windows compatible core now in development is expected to be the core of future IMES System-on-a-Chip (SOC) designs. The project with Cadence is focused on fast time-to-market for SOC designs. Jim Tully, analyst for Dataquest in London, labeled SOC technology the "future of semiconductors." Market forces are rapidly accelerating requirements for both OEMs and chip companies to move designs to SOC. Sales of SOCs now amount to only $4 billion, or 3% of the world market. By 2001, SOCs could total $70 billion, triple the size of today's microprocessor market and 26% of total chip sales (Business Week 12/15/97). SOCs are anticipated to be cheaper, more reliable, and require less power than present multiple chip systems. The IMSLIB library and other IMES components are well positioned to become the leading choice for new SOC designs.
Management
George Smith is CEO and founder. He was formerly the Principal Director for military space shuttle operations and Director for Systems Development at Aerospace Corp. Dr Lee Hoevel is president. He was at IBM research 10 years and 10 years at AT&T/NCR as Director of Advanced Architecture, Chief Architect for the Workstations Products Division, and VP of R&D. Dr Hanan Potash is VP Operations. He was VP Engineering at Systech Corp, System Engineering Labs, Scientific Computer Systems, and Director of Architecture at Unisys Microprocessor Group. Sigmund Hartman is the Strategic Advisor. He was President of Software and Executive VP for both Atari and Commodore. Mike Jordan is the new VP Marketing. He was Application Development manager for IBM Europe.
Financial Status (9/30/97)*
Total Assets: $1,897,593 Current Liabilities: $3,718,434 Long Term Debt: None Shareholders Equity: ($1,820,841)
*Assets do not take into account the true market value of intellectual property. One example is the advance payment of $1 million received from Cadence Design Systems subsequent to 9/30/97. IMES is in transition from its R&D stage and should have significant revenues in 1998.
Recommendation
I recommend IMES for both midterm and long-term appreciation. This situation has the probability for outstanding revenues. I suspect some people have taken short positions - shorters love R&D companies. In this case, they may be caught with their shorts down. The investment community hasn't figured out what is developing here. The true story, though a matter of public record, hasn't been presented to make the right impact it deserves. Most still view IMES as a company positioned to do battle with INTEL. That was the case when I first wrote about IMES back in 10/93, but it is not today. IMES is presently addressing key lucrative market niches that INTEL is currently not able to successfully compete in. In fact, IMES appears to be clearly positioned to be the leader with the new standard in these niches. With the cooperative agreement with Cadence, and possibly similar arrangements with other tool vendors to come, IMES has the ability to tap significant market potential.
One reason for the temporary lack of investor interest is the recent 12/2/97 press release announcing the relationship with Cadence. It made IMES sound as if it had only achieved a $1 million deal. The company's preliminary prospectus, from which all of this data has been obtained and provided to me by IMES's Investor relations firm, states that this is an up-front payment giving Cadence the right to market IMES's products and services to its customers. In my opinion, the association with Cadence alone will make a big difference in 1998. I expect IMES will implement similar arrangements with other members of the industry. After the financing is complete, the company should be listed on NASDAQ.
Contact
Call IMES's Investor relations firm at Dallas: 972-398-8500, or at Denver 303-770-5625. |