To: Frodo Baxter who wrote (7068 ) 1/19/1998 9:57:00 AM From: Sam Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9124
Lawrence, "Then they sock you with a huge "one-time" charge. Whose legitimacy, btw, you never took up my offer to debate." You are right--sorry. Have been both busy at work, and depressed about mostly pissing away huge paper profits, so my thinking about these things has been on "stuck" for a few weeks. Still no real time to think about it, but will try in the next week or two, and get back to you either here or on the more general DD thread. You are also right on your other point, but only to some extent--"There is tremendous leeway to fudge depreciation schedules, inventory valuation, and so on, making cash flow negative companies appear earnings positive" and "At what point does irrational management optimism (which they are all guilty of) end and intentional deception begin? Obviously I don't know. But these lawsuits keep them honest." However, no one--neither the analysts nor the companies nor even the people on these threads saw the depth of the current imbalance nor the speed with which it came on. Yeah, some people came in and said DDs are commodities, and there will be a glut sooner or later. And Alan Abelson, Michael Metz, Bob Prechter et al have said repeatedly that the market is overvalued and this bull will end sooner or later (they keep pushing the date out, like some eschatologists I have read). That doesn't count, at least not to me. No one saw when it would happen, or why. Granted no one can ever say exactly when or why. But that is part of the point about the lawsuits--to turn your question around, at what point do they become just a grab by the lawyers to get a few million dollars for themselves?