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Non-Tech : Any info about Iomega (IOM)? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Reseller who wrote (43723)1/18/1998 10:24:00 AM
From: Tom Carroll  Respond to of 58324
 
RE: Iomega's options strategy

Dave,

You're welcome about the split/options question. Alas, in
my career, I've worked for a university and then for a
relatively penniless nonprofit. These are not good vantage
points for watching all the little ins and outs of employee
stock options plans. <g> I was just reporting to you the
publicly-disclosed rationale that Iomega gave for the
split. I don't know all the technical details. Maybe
someone else on the thread who's a little closer to
such things can help you out there. Or maybe they
already have, since there are at the moment over
a hundred unread messages after yours awaiting
my perusal.

My very amateur take on things is that insiders at
Iomega fully expect the shares to appreciate a whole
lot more in the next couple of years, and that therefore
it's advantageous to hold options on more shares, even
at the post-split price, so that they can have more
flexibility at selling some off now and then, etcetera,
etcetera. I also think that Iomega got surprised by
the drift down in the price just as the split took
effect. Leading up to their November announcement
of the split, the stock was rocketing into the low
thirties, and they were about to launch the Clik!
program in public as well, so they expected the price
to top forty pre-split and to therefore be in the low
twenties post-split. They failed to factor in the
Asian headaches, the disk drive doldrums, and the
shakiness of the market in general. So the price
hasn't ramped as expected. It will eventually, I
think, because they're still on track with selling
the Zips and so on, but we'll just have to be
patient as their earnings drive up the price.
The mutuals and so on aren't buying now, but
they will eventually as long as the earnings
keep going up, and I'm betting that they will.
Maybe KE will even allow an extra penny or so
of earnings in next week's announcement--thereby
breaking ranks with the past and confounding
Jak!'s prediction--to help spike the price back
up over twenty. Who knows?

Thanks for all the inside dope about inventories.

Cheers, Tom (long IOM)