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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (13260)	1/17/1998 12:36:00 PM
From: William H Huebl	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

GZ, Barron's based indicators etc: Jan 17 1998 Weekly=Up M=d,Tu=d,W=d,Th=d VIX=500 points up VGY=sell DJIA momentum=near peak short term Gut feeling - some upside Volatility=increasing Overall-not down Evaluation:of last week's forecast: Weekly-Flat - not down Daily-80% wrong Gut feelings: Wrong. was flat Last week was the third week in a row with a bad forecast! Also about to get a weak buy signal from A/D and VGY. Bill

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (13260)	1/17/1998 9:58:00 PM
From: Investor2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

RE: "BTW, I'm getting ready to reverse positions and short the 30 year bonds. Not quite yet, but getting close." Well, you were certainly correct on the buy side. Long term bonds have been a great investment recently. Where would you recommend putting conservative money at the present time, if not bonds? Best wishes, I2

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (13260)	1/21/1998 5:36:00 PM
From: Dwight Taylor	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Ground--<<BTW, I'm getting ready to reverse positions and short the 30 year bonds. Not quite yet, but getting close.>> I don't follow bonds, is shorting a bond the same as shorting an equity? What is your take on the following-- The Privateer suggests -- Watch the Treasury long bond yield. When it stops falling, that will be the indication that some people are thinking that maybe the future isn't certain after all. When that happens, Gold will be ready and waiting. (From Jan. 9 commentary) Throughout the Asian crisis, and especially since the larger economies of Hong Kong, Korea, and Japan itself were caught up in it, the "flight to quality" has all landed squarely on the U.S. Dollar and its preferred instrument, interest-bearing U.S. Treasury debt paper. As long as that was occurring, Gold was the forgotten alternative. Now, with the first signs that the ardor for Treasury debt is abating, Gold has staged its biggest weekly rise since the Asian crisis hit Korea at the end of September, when the yield on long-term Treasury debt started falling in earnest.