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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (144971)12/28/2018 6:47:12 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217528
 
this was reiterated 26th, and Armstrong did call the low of 26th.

his thesis remains that the confidence in government / public asset (sovereign bonds) would evaporate 2020, leading to mass migration to private assets (stocks)

let's watch, and maybe do something but slowly and in dollops as opposed to in tranches



To: carranza2 who wrote (144971)1/1/2019 9:45:50 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217528
 
C2, A get-go tallying / taking of stock.

Preamble: taking it easy last year turned out to be the correct way

(1) For doing anything would have entailed more losses than worth the trouble ...



(2) Comparatively gold did not-bad



(3) Currently more or less just so ...

Message 31952721
<<64% real estate, most of it in HK industrial lofts, where it had traditionally gone from low to high, high to low, low to higher, and higher to higher still, and besides, there is a minuscule but positive yield, less the regulatory hassles, and backstopped by landlord-friendly law and enforcement. Historically went 8X from 2007 to now without leverage.

4+% equity, yields ~4%, emerging market variety, if HK qualifies, and hinged on China

15-% cash

17.5% metals, physical / paper (13.7% / 3.8%), Au, Pt+Pd, and Ag (74% / 19+1% / 5%), no yield, but happy to suffer so and consider such to be 0% yielding cash that would be redeployed should such be required, called for, or agility to be exercised>>

(4) There are a plethora of opinions on what to best do