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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (30877)1/18/1998 2:16:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 61433
 
Price: $30
Estimates (Apr) 1997A 1998E 1999E
EPS: $1.07 $1.05-1.10 $1.50-1.60
P/E: 28.0x 27.9x 19.4x
EPS Change (YoY): 0.5% 44.2%
Consensus EPS: $1.06 $1.58
(First Call: 12-Jan-98)
Q3 EPS (Jan): $0.27 $0.27
Cash Flow/Share: $2.05 $1.98 $3.38
Price/Cash Flow: 14.6x 15.2x 8.9x
Dividend Rate: Nil Nil Nil
Dividend Yield: Nil Nil Nil
Opinion & Financial Data
Investment Opinion: C-3-2-9
Mkt. Value / Shares Outstanding (mn): $5,490 / 183
Book Value/Share (Jul-97): $5.28
Price/Book Ratio: 5.7x
LT Liability % of Capital: 1.5%
Est. 5 Year EPS Growth: 25.0%
Stock Data
52-Week Range: $69 3/8-$27 1/4
Symbol / Exchange: NN / NYSE
Options: Pacific
Institutional Ownership-Spectrum: 27.8%
Brokers Covering (First Call): 16
ML Industry Weightings & Ratings**
Strategy; Weighting Rel. to Mkt.:
Income: Underweight (07-Mar-95)
Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-95)
Income & Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-95)
Capital Appreciation: In Line (13-Jan-98)
Market Analysis; Technical Rating: Below Average (29-Dec-97)
*Intermediate term opinion last changed on 04-Nov-97.
**The views expressed are those of the macro department and do not
necessarily coincide with those of the Fundamental analyst.
For full investment opinion definitions, see footnotes.
Investment Highlights:
<sum> Industry sources indicate that Newbridge
management will reach a decision on the
potential divestiture of the enterprise business
by the end of the January 1998 quarter.
<sum> Based on the strong relationship between
Newbridge and 3Com (COMS; $32 11/16;
C-2-2-9), we believe that 3Com will be
involved in the transaction.
<sum> Investor concerns will now focus on the TDM
business, which derives 85% of revenues from
international markets.
Fundamental Highlights:
<sum> Enterprise Networking revenues were about
10% of total sales in the October quarter,
representing c$33 million from UB
Networks and c$10 million from the
VIVID product family.
<sum> Time Division Multiplexer (TDM) sales were
44% of overall sales in the October quarter.
Market research indicates that Newbridge's
market share is 50%, about twice that of its
closest competitor.
Bulletin
Canada
Telecommunications/Equipment
14 January 1998
Joseph J. Bellace
First Vice President Newbridge Networks Corp
Potential Decision on Divestiture of
Enterprise Business by End of Current Qtr.
NEUTRAL*
Long Term
ACCUMULATE Reason for Report: Recent Developments
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#10101468
Stock Performance